Arsenal v Brighton: Gunners can boost top-four hopes with win

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Jack Lang is expecting Unai Emery's men to sign off with a win in their last home game of the season...

"The Seagulls will attempt keep things tight – that is simply what they do – and scratch out a draw. But Arsenal have the firepower to find a way through"

Arsenal v Brighton & Hove Albion
Sunday, 16:30
Live on Sky Sports Premier League

Can Gunners build on Valencia win?

It can be hard for teams to juggle competing commitments in the final stages of the season, but for Arsenal, Thursday's game against Valencia came at a good time. It was an opportunity to right a few wrongs, and while their performance on the night was not perfect, there was enough there to pick spirits up after a testing few weeks.

After three league defeats on the spin, the formula this weekend looks fairly straightforward: they simply must beat Brighton if they're to stand a realistic chance of sneaking into the top four. With a tough trip to Burnley next Sunday, any other result would leave them with too much to do.

Key to their chances will be harnessing the threat of Alexandre Lacazette and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang. Both scored against Valencia, but they have been frustratingly inconsistent in the league, often seeming to take it in turns to influence games rather than turn up together. With the defence so fragile, a repeat of Thursday's display would be very handy indeed.

Miserable Brighton clinging on

If Brighton are to stay in the top flight - and the jury is still out - it will owe more to others' deficiencies than their own quality. The Seagulls have taken just two points from the last 24 available, and should be thanking their lucky stars that Cardiff have been unable to up their game sufficiently over the same period.

The problem, as ever, has been goalscoring. With chief creator Pascal Gross struggling for form and fitness, and Glenn Murray below his best, Brighton have looked toothless for months. One goal in eight games is a rotten record, and if Chris Hughton does end up losing his job in the summer, he'll know exactly what the main factor was.

Arsenal strong favourites

Arsenal lost to Crystal Palace at the Emirates a fortnight ago, but their home record prior to that was excellent: 10 league wins on the spin, with Tottenham, Chelsea and Man United among their victims.

Their weakness is at the back, but Brighton don't look especially well placed to punish their generosity. The Seagulls will attempt keep things tight - that is simply what they do - and scratch out a draw, as they almost managed against Spurs. But Arsenal have the firepower to find a way through, so it's no real surprise that they're rated as [1.43] favourites.

Seagulls can keep things tight (ish)

That price is too short for us, and the awkwardness factor with Brighton makes us reluctant to back Arsenal on the Asian handicap. The best option is to back the home win with under 3.5 goals, using the Same Game Multi tool on the Sportsbook. Only one of Brighton's last 12 league outings have gone over that goal line, and given they rarely score, there's a bit of wiggle room to allow for Arsenal's attackers enjoying themselves.

Auba could kick on

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has not being firing on all cylinders, but he still has a knack for popping up with a goal even when otherwise quiet. He has six in his last 10 outings, and has enjoyed playing against Brighton since arriving in north London: he has two goals in two games against them, and can be backed at [1.72] to notch here.

Jack Lang's Premier League P/L, 2018/19

Staked: 33pts
Returned: 29.4pts
P/L: -3.6pts

Jack Lang,

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