Tottenham v Everton: Can either side cure their Europa hangover?

Roberto Martinez has reason to smile as Everton's season looks to be gathering pace at a rapid rate
Roberto Martinez has reason to smile as Everton's season looks to be gathering pace at a rapid rate
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Locked on 17 points in the middle of the Premier League table, and having both recently secured their places in the Europa League knockout stages, Spurs and Everton meet in a mouth-watering Super Sunday clash. Jaymes Monte previews...

"Each of Spurs’ last five Premier League games have had three goals or more, while the Lilywhites haven’t failed to score in any of their last 13 games in all competitions."

2pts Over 2.5 goals @ 1.8810/11


Tottenham v Everton
Sunday November 30, 16:00
Sky Sports 1


Tottenham

Home fixtures are generally welcomed in football, but for Spurs this season games at White Hart Lane have not been particularly fruitful; just six of their 17 points have been won on their home patch and they haven't picked up a single Premier League point in North London since October 5th when they beat Southampton 1-0.

Following their latest home league defeat - against Stoke - Emmanuel Adebayor commented that the negative atmosphere created by the fans at The Lane was damaging the players' confidence, and suggested that they preferred playing away from home at the moment.

Back-to-back wins on the road against Aston Villa then Hull seem to back up the Togolese forward's claims, although both have come in slightly fortuitous circumstances. In both games they were 1-0 down heading into the final 30 minutes of the game, but a red card shown to an opposition player turned the game on its head and Mauricio Pochettino's men have gone on to collect the three points courtesy of a 90th minute winner.

Three of their five Premier League wins this season have now come courtesy of last minute goals.

The hosts are still without the services of Kyle Naughton who serves the second of a two-game suspension, while Andros Townsend, Danny Rose, Younes Kaboul, Nacer Chadli and Adebayor will all have late fitness tests following recent injuries.


Everton

Everton's season has been quite the mirror image of Tottenham's. Having started slowly The Toffees are now beginning to gather some momentum and come into this game unbeaten in their last eight in all competitions and with only one defeat in their last seven Premier League fixtures.

Roberto Martinez's men have also picked up more points on the road than at home this season, but have only beaten Burnley in their last four away from Goodison Park.

After a slow start to the season following his big money move to Merseyside Romelu Lukaku looks now to have rediscovered his goal-scoring touch. The Belgian has two goals in his last two games and four in his last six starts for the club.

Gareth Barry, Steven Naismith, Steven Pienaar, Darron Gibson and Leighton Baines were all left out of Everton's Europa League squad in midweek due to various injury problems. Baines, who picked up a hamstring injury on international duty, could return as his problem isn't as bad as first feared.


Match Odds

Both clubs will be buoyant after securing their place in the Europa League knockout stages with victories on Thursday night, but there's reason to be restrained when considering backing either team this Sunday. Both Everton and Spurs have won only once each this season on the Sunday following their four Europa League group stage fixtures to date, with Spurs losing three of those games and Everton two.

Given that playing at home this season doesn't seem to be much of an advantage for Spurs, I see no reason why they should be as short as 2.3611/8 in the Match Odds market, meaning the value lies with the 3.259/4 available on an away win. However, I'd like to keep the draw on side and therefore suggest a bet in either the Draw No Bet market where the Toffees are 2.3611/8, or the Double Chance market where Everton-Draw is 1.664/6.


Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Unlike a bet in the Match Odds market, I have a lot more confidence in suggesting a bet on Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.8810/11. Each of Spurs' last five Premier League games have had three goals or more, while they haven't failed to score in any of their last 13 games in all competitions.

Everton, for their part, have only once failed to score in a Premier League game this season (12 games) and aside from games versus Swansea - who they have twice failed to find the back of the net against - they've breached the opposition's defence at least once in 15 of 16 games in all competitions.

If you want to take it one step further, I wouldn't put anyone off taking some of the 3.1511/5 available on Over 3.5 goals either, while 1.664/6 is available on both teams scoring.


Recommended Bets
2pts Over 2.5 goals @ 1.8810/11
1pt Over 3.5 goals @ 3.1511/5


Jaymes Monte 2014/15 Season P/L

Staked: 25.5 pts
Returned: 29.62 pts
P/L: +4.12 pts

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