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World Cup Opta Stats: Three key pro-Argentina trends

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A study of the ever-illuminating Opta stats suggests that Germany are being championed prematurely...

"No side have kept as many clean sheets as Argentina at World Cup 2014 (four)."
Best Bet: Back Argentina to keep a clean sheet @ [3.35]

Germany v Argentina
Sunday, 20:00
Live on BBC One and ITV

Match Odds: Germany [2.34], Argentina [3.65], The Draw [3.3]

This is the tenth time teams from Europe and South America have met in the final; seven of the prior nine were won by the South Americans

You would have to be really selective in your World Cup consumption to not be aware of the statistic whereby all seven previous World Cups held in the Americas have been won by a South American side. However, the above indication that CONMEBOL's finest are also usually far superior at piecing everything together on final night presents another obstacle to Germany, who are already laden with the baggage of losing four of their seven World Cup finals, including three of their last four.

Recommended Bet: Back Argentina to lift the trophy @ [2.42]


Argentina haven't been trailing in any of their six games at this World Cup

Both Germany and Argentina's passage to the final profited from denying opponents anything to get excited about or encouraged by, but while Argentina haven't been behind, Germany put themselves in Group G strife against Ghana, being forced to extinguish a 1-2 deficit and then accept a point. The Albiceleste by contrast seized the advantage in four fixtures (striking within eight minutes in three) and held out for 0-0s in the others, so the opportunity to lay Germany at odds-on to break the deadlock is one that shouldn't be passed up.

Recommended Bet: Lay Germany to score the next (first) goal @ [1.97]


No side have kept as many clean sheets as Argentina at World Cup 2014 (four)

Before the tournament, Argentina's defence, comprised as it is of a Monaco reverse, Sporting Lisbon utility man and much-(unfairly)-maligned Martin Demichelis, was highlighted as the weak link that would stop them from ending a 28-year trophy drought. The reality is that when you have a player as masterful at his role as Javier Mascherano protecting, it scarcely matters how average the backline is. Opta note that Argentina are yet to concede a knockout goal, despite extra time in two of the games stretching their number of hours on the pitch without leaking to five and a half.

Best Bet: Back Argentina to keep a clean sheet @ [3.35]

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