Manchester City need a positive result at Watford to book their spot in the top four. Opta weighs up the odds.
"Manchester City have lost just one of their last eight games on the final day of the season (W5 D2)."
Watford have failed to beat Manchester City in their last seven league encounters (D2 L5), losing each of the previous three Premier League contests. Manchester City are [1.3] to win.
The Citizens have scored 2+ goals in six of the last nine league clashes between the two sides, including exactly two goals in each of the last three. City are [8.0] to win 2-0.
Sergio Aguero has scored four goals in his last three games against Watford in all competitions, including an FA Cup hat-trick against the Hornets in January 2013. Aguero is [1.75] to score.
The Hornets are unbeaten in their three Premier League final day matches (W1 D2), with all three coming at Vicarage Road. A draw is [6.4].
Manchester City have lost just one of their last eight games on the final day of the season (W5 D2). They are [1.82] to win half-time/full-time.
The Hornets have scored the same number of goals as they did in the Premier League last season (40) but have conceded 13 goals more (63 v 50) with one game remaining. Over 2.5 goals is [1.48].
Watford have lost their last five Premier League games and failed to score in four of these - they've never lost six in a row in their top-flight history. City are [2.21] to win to nil.
Jose Holebas has equalled the Premier League record for the most yellow cards in a single season (14) and could set the outright record in this match should he be cautioned. Holebas is [3.5] to be booked.
Dan Fitch 2016/17 Season P/L
Staked: 523 pts
Returned: 526.30 pts
P/L: +3.30 pts