Michael Lintorn studied the Opta stats to settle upon four bets for this weekend's Premier League games...
"West Brom have conceded the highest proportion of first-half goals in the Premier League this season (54%)."
Best Bet: Back Man United to lead at half time at West Brom @ [2.4]
West Brom v Man United (Saturday 12:45, BT Sport 1)
West Brom have conceded the highest proportion of first-half goals in the Premier League this season (54%)
The Baggies' slow-start syndrome has worsened under Pepe Mel, with the strugglers trailing at the interval in five of his six matches in charge, including all four at home - none of which they actually lost. Even the one time they weren't behind at the break at Aston Villa, they managed to blow a 2-0 nine-minute lead by half time. Man United were ahead by then on three of their last five Hawthorns visits.
Best Bet: Back Man United to lead at half time @ [2.4]
Cardiff v Fulham (Saturday, 15:00)
Fulham have gone 13 Premier League away matches without a clean sheet
Cardiff have failed to score in four Premier League outings, but the above stat points to this battle of the bottom two as the perfect impotence cure. Fulham are clean sheet-free in 13 at all venues, yet are at least now scoring regularly, netting in four straight encounters, three of which were against top-seven sides. Six of the Cottagers' seven clashes with bottom-six companions saw both teams bag.
Recommended Bet: Back both teams to score @ [1.77]
Crystal Palace v Southampton (Saturday, 15:00)
Southampton have only won four of their last 17 Premier League games (W4 D5 L8)
Southampton's fine work earlier this campaign will rightly earn a top-half reward, though their best form is behind them. It isn't just that they have only won four in 17, it is the fact that three of those wins came against the clubs 17th or lower. The Saints have lost their last two games, conceding three in each, and three of their four trips to London. Crystal Palace have won three of their last four at home.
Recommended Bet: Lay Southampton to win @ [2.28]
Norwich v Stoke (Saturday, 15:00)
An average of 1.2 goals per game makes this the third lowest scoring fixture in Premier League history (using a minimum of five meetings)
Bolton v Southampton (1.17) and Man City v Sheffield United (1.0) join them on the world's dullest podium. The stats indicate that Norwich and Stoke will slim their average further at Carrow Road, where Norwich have kept four successive clean sheets, yet scored just two in five. Stoke have fired seven away blanks in nine, while the last four times that these bottom-half buddies collided, there was a 1-0 winner.
Recommended Bet: Back under 2.5 goals @ [1.67]