Opta Stats: Why Man City won't lead Villa at half time

There could yet be a twist or two left in the title race
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The Opta stats hint at Aston Villa frustrating Man City and West Brom causing a season-shaping upset...

"Six of Aston Villa’s last seven Premier League goals have come before half time."
Best Bet: Lay Man City to lead at half time @ 1.454/9


Man United v Hull (Tuesday, 19:45)
Man United's last six Premier League games have seen them either score four and win or fail to score and lose (W3 L3)
Hull's ropey record against top-eight clubs suggests that Man United's final home match of an abject campaign is more likely to fall into the former category. The Tigers have lost all seven trips to sides in that region of the table, and suffered 12 reverses in 14 even if you add in their results as hosts. The FA Cup finalists have leaked eight goals in their last three fixtures, and shipped three at home to Man United on Boxing Day, while Opta reveal that they have been breached 30 times across ten league meetings at Old Trafford.
Recommended Bet: Back Man United to score three or more @ 2.526/4

Man City v Aston Villa (Wednesday, 19:45, Sky Sports 1)
Six of Aston Villa's last seven Premier League goals have come before half time
Man City are in the calming position of knowing that four points from home clashes with Aston Villa and West Ham will almost certainly be enough to land the title, but such simple assignments carry the greatest risk of complacency. As at Everton, Manuel Pellegrini's team may be kept waiting a while before assuming a lead against Aston Villa, who have only trailed at the break in three of their last 15 encounters, despite losing eight in that period. Even on one of those few exceptions, it wasn't until a penalty was awarded in the 45th minute that they fell behind.
Best Bet: Lay Man City to lead at half time @ 1.454/9

Sunderland v West Brom (Wednesday, 19:45)
The Baggies won seven and drew one of their last eight Premier League games against Sunderland
After snatching a remarkable seven points from away days at Man City, Chelsea and Man United, securing survival appears easy for the Black Cats, who require just a point from a Stadium of Light double header against West Brom and Swansea. However, these are the sort of occasions that they struggle to handle, with Opta noting that Sunderland have won only two of their 16 Premier League games against sides currently in the bottom half, enduring nine defeats. West Brom have triumphed on two of their last three visits to bottom-half companions.
Recommended Bet: Back West Brom to win @ 4.47/2

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