Opta Stats: Manchester City v Watford

Dan Fitch
19 September 2019

Will Pep Guardiola mastermind a victory for Manchester City when they host Watford?

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The champions Manchester City will be looking to bounce back against Watford after suffering a shock defeat last weekend. Opta weighs up the odds.

"Sergio Aguero has scored in his last six Premier League appearances – the last player to score in seven in a row in the competition was Romelu Lukaku in December 2015 whilst playing for Everton."

Aguero is 3.711/4 to score the first goal.

Manchester City have won their last 11 meetings with Watford in all competitions, scoring at least twice in each game (38 goals in total). They are 1.121/8 to win.

Watford's run of 11 successive defeats in all competitions against Man City is their joint-longest such run against any opponent - they also lost 11 in a row vs Man Utd between 1987-2016. Manchester City are 1.538/15 to win half-time/full-time.

Only against West Brom (14 between April 2012-January 2018) have Manchester City had a longer winning run against an opponent than their current run of 11 against Watford. Manchester City are 2.111/10 to win to nil.

Watford have lost each of their last 15 Premier League away games against 'big six' teams by an aggregate score of 9-45, with their last such victory coming against Arsenal at the Emirates Stadium in January 2017 (2-1). A Manchester City win and both teams to score is 2.3811/8.

Manchester City's 2-3 loss at Norwich City on MD5 was their first Premier League defeat in 19 matches. Watford are 29.028/1 to claim victory.

Manchester City's Sergio Aguero has scored 10 goals in his seven appearances against Watford in all competitions, including netting hat-tricks in January 2014 (FA Cup) and September 2017 (Premier League). Aguero is 3.55/2 to score two goals or more.

Sergio Aguero has scored in his last six Premier League appearances - the last player to score in seven in a row in the competition was Romelu Lukaku in December 2015 whilst playing for Everton. Aguero is 3.711/4 to score the first goal.

Raheem Sterling has scored eight goals in seven appearances against Watford in all competitions, including his first ever goal for Manchester City in August 2015, and a hat-trick in this exact fixture last season. Sterling is 4.03/1 to score at least two goals.

Since Pep Guardiola took charge of the club in 2016-17, Manchester City have scored the lowest share of goals via set-pieces (excluding penalties) in the Premier League (13% - 38/297). Under 3.5 goals is 2.285/4.

This will be the fourth managerial meeting between Pep Guardiola and Quique Sánchez Flores but the first encounter in England. Quique Sánchez Flores won the first match as Atletico Madrid boss in February 2010 against Guardiola's Barcelona (2-1 at home). Watford are 26.025/1 in the Draw No Bet market.

Dan Fitch 2019/20 Season P/L

Staked: 136.00 pts
Returned: 145.27 pts
P/L: +9.27 pts

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