Christian Crowther uses the Opta stats to predict convincing wins for Fulham and Arsenal...
"Only Norwich (6.8%) have a worse chance conversion rate than Paul Lambert’s Villa side this season (9.8%)."
Recommended Bet: Fulham to win to nil @ 3.412/5
Fulham v Aston Villa (Saturday, 15:00)
Only Norwich (6.8%) have a worse chance conversion rate than Paul Lambert's Villa side this season (9.8%)
These are naturally the type of stats which worry fans and are inherently synonymous with teams planted at the wrong end of the table. Aston Villa have shown plenty to trouble their supporters and are currently hovering precariously above the relegation zone. Therefore, a trip to Fulham where the Cottagers have won nine of their last 13 games and, in stark contrast to their visitors, actually have the best chance conversion rate in the top flight, will offer little solace.
Swansea v Wigan (Saturday, 15:00)
Wigan have kept just two clean sheets in their last 21 Premier League matches on the road
It's so often a case of which Wigan side decide to turn up on the day but the same could be levelled at Swansea this season who may have flattered to deceive by opening with two wins. One thing is for sure, both these teams have developed a propensity to ship goals in the league - five in their last three for Wigan and seven in the same period for the Swans. Swansea are rarely involved in dull encounters as five out of their seven games going over the 2.5 goals mark testifies.
Norwich v Arsenal (Saturday, 17:30, ESPN)
Chris Hughton's side have allowed their opponents the joint-most shots on target against them of Premier League teams this season (41)
Norwich are really struggling this season, still winless, and looking a shadow of the cohesive band of brothers which took the Premier League by storm last season. The visit of Arsenal to Carrow Road therefore will not be a particularly welcome one, especially if the Gunners' Premier League away form is anything to go by. Arsenal have dispatched West Ham and Liverpool already on the road and kept two clean sheets to boot.
QPR v Everton (Sunday, 16:00, Sky Sports 1)
QPR have conceded more goals in the opening 15 minutes of games than any other team this season (4)
For Mark Hughes this game already has the daunting feel of a job-saving affair, or not as the case may be. As this stat suggests, it's at the back where Sparky's expensively assembled side have been most vulnerable with a host of injuries not helping the QPR cause. Unluckily for them, Everton are bang in form right now and look like the perfect side to catch Rangers early doors once more - scoring on 11 minutes in their last Premier League game and notching all three against Southampton before the half-time whistle.