Opta Big Match Stats: Still no away win for Man United

David de Gea should be kept busy by Leverkusen's attack

After looking at the Opta stats, Lewis Jones thinks Bayer Leverkusen are brilliant value to avoid defeat against Man United...

"Leverkusen have won each of their last eight Champions League home group games."
Best Bet: Back Leverkusen to win 2-1 @ 10.5 and 3-1 @ 21/122.0

Manchester United are winless in four Champions League away games (D3 L1), their worst run since February 2004-December 2005 (eight games, D3 L5)
The Red Devils may sit top of Group A, unbeaten with eight points tucked away under their shirts but there is still work to be done for manager David Moyes. Their failure to break down Real Sociedad still leaves them - depending on Shakhtar's result - needing one more win to qualify. They won't get it in Leverkusen either, against a team who spark into life at home in this competition and are a tempting bet at 7/52.4. On the road in the Champions League, Moyes is still finding his feet tactically. United, who can be backed at 12/53.35, have looked the better side in both of their European away days but Moyes has marshalled his troops to stick rather than twist when the game has been there for the taking. Unlike Shakhtar and Sociedad, the Germans are very potent in front of goal and can take advantage of Moyes' strategic indecision.
Recommended Bet: Lay Man United to win @ 12/53.4

Leverkusen have won each of their last eight Champions League home group games
Ten wins in their first 13 top-flight games represents Leverkusen's best start to a Bundesliga season and there aren't many sides with better current home form in European football's most prestigious tournament. Their 4-0 win over Shakhtar was Leverkusen's biggest Champions League triumph and backed up their professional job when previously beating Real Sociedad 2-1 in their first home game. Furthermore, in their last eight home Champions League victories, Leverkusen have managed to score at least two goals on each occasion and have notched 20 times in just seven home league games this term in the Bundesliga. Dutching stakes on 2-1 at 10.5 and 3-1 at 21/122.0 looks a shrewd play.
Best Bet: Back Leverkusen to win 2-1 @ 10.5 and 3-1 @ 21/122.0

Leverkusen have reached the knockout stages in their last two Champions League appearances without recording a single away group win
If our faith in the Germans is justified then they will leapfrog United into pole position in Group A and, if they win by two or more, will just need to avoid defeat against Sociedad to claim top spot. La Real, who would have nothing to play for except pride, have gone five Champions League home group games without a win, so it shouldn't prove hard for Leverkusen to go there and get a result in the final matchday.
Recommended Bet: Back Leverkusen to win Group A @ 9/43.3

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