Opta Big Match Stats: Napoli and Arsenal both to score

Defensive failings may undermine Napoli's bid for a three-goal win

Lewis Jones has cast his eye over Opta's pearls of wisdom and predicts a fast start from Napoli and a second-half comeback from Arsenal...

"Napoli haven’t kept a single clean sheet over their last 12 games in the Champions League and Europa League."
Best Bet: Both teams to score @ 1.538/15

Napoli must win by a three-goal margin to guarantee a place in the last 16
The Italians know what they have to do. Get goals. Three or more to be precise and you can all but guarantee that Rafa Benitez's men will come flying out of the traps to make sure they hold up their end of the bargain, whilst hoping that Dortmund don't beat pointless Marseille. If the Germans do slip up then any result better than theirs will see Napoli through. Arsenal are defensively very sound, but keeping a clean sheet at the jumping Stadio San Paolo will be a severely tough ask as only Sampdoria and Parma have shut out the feisty Napoli attack in Serie A this calendar year. Napoli goals usually fly in early on in games too. Of the last 17 goals they've scored at home in all competitions, 12 have come in the first half. Furthermore, the Partenopei have been leading at half-time in five of their last six home matches. That looks the logical play again, with 1-0 a half time correct score to consider at 5.49/2.
Recommended Bet: Back Napoli to be winning at half time @ 3.02/1

Napoli haven't kept a single clean sheet over their last 12 games in the Champions League and Europa League
For all their attacking brilliance from the likes of Gonzalo Higuaín and Goran Pandev, the Italians are unusually brittle in defence for a side hailing from that part of the world. Their inability to keep clean sheets - just one in their last 11 games in all competitions - stems from a lack of midfield authority that puts extra pressure on the Napoli back four. What we should find in this clash is that the longer the game progresses, the more the devilish and silky Gunners midfield will control the game. Chances will be there for Arsenal to take in the second half.
Best Bet: Both teams to score @ 1.538/15

Mesut Ozil has scored only once in an away game in the Champions League - at the Allianz Arena, back in April 2012
The German playmaker should be swerved at 5.04/1 to score at any time and punters should instead be looking towards the deadly Aaron Ramsey to continue his fantastic scoring record at Europe's top table. Including qualifiers, the Welsh wizard has scored five times in the Champions League this season and has 15 in all competitions.
Recommended Bet: Back Aaron Ramsey to score at 5.04/1

Get a Free £/€20 Exchange Bet

  • Join Now - Open account using promo code VAL225
  • Bet - Place a £/€20 Bet on the Exchange
  • Earn We'll Refund You £/€20 If the Bet Loses

T&Cs apply.

Discover the latest articles

Read past articles