Opta Big Match Stats: Lewandowski to bag in Dortmund win

Dortmund have started the season strongly in Germany and Europe

Lewis Jones has run his eyes over the Opta stats and expects Robert Lewandowski to spearhead a Dortmund demolition job on Arsenal...

"Dortmund have won their last seven home games in the Champions League."

Best Bet: Back Borussia Dortmund to win @ 5/71.71

Dortmund have won their last seven home games in the Champions League

Arsenal may be unbeaten in their last four Champions League away games in Germany, but the continued rise of the Bundesliga to the top of the European pyramid means this is a much tougher away day for an English side than it was three or four years ago. Last year's finalists should confirm the form of their 2-1 victory at the Emirates. Both Real Madrid and Manchester City have suffered defeats at Westfalenstadion in the last 18 months and it's hard to see how an attack based around Mesut Ozil and Olivier Giroud can trouble a defence that successfully outshone the likes of Cristiano Ronaldo and Sergio Aguero. There may be slim hope for the Gunners to shut up shop and hold on for a low-scoring draw (0-0 is worth a small tickle at a massive 19/120.0) but outright win bets should be directed towards a home win.

Best Bet: Back Borussia Dortmund to win @ 5/71.71

Arsenal have scored two goals in the opening 15 minutes this season, something only reigning champions Bayern can match

Like a sprint greyhound exploding from the traps, Arsenal have made a habit this year of firing early goals in their European clashes. Including the qualifying round, the Gunners have scored first in four of their five Champions League matches. This is a tricky position to profit from when faith is very much behind a home win, but banking on Arsenal to take the lead then lose the game is an intriguing angle to explore.

Recommended Bet: Back Arsenal/Dortmund in the Half Time/Full Time market @ 24/125.0

Robert Lewandowski has scored 11 goals in his last 12 Champions League appearances

The lethal hitman, who has scored 55 Bundesliga goals in two and a bit seasons for Jurgen Klopp's side, may be obvious target for anytime goalscorer backers but sometimes, in betting, the best option is to act in an uncomplicated manner. The Pole scored the winner in the reverse fixture, netted a hat-trick last Friday in Dortmund's 6-1 win over Stuttgart and should be punted on with confidence to strike again.

Recommended Bet: Back Lewandowski to score @ 21/202.06

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