Opta Big Match Stats: Lay England to beat red hot Chile

Roy Hodgson has only overseen one loss as England manager

After looking at the Opta stats, Lewis Jones has cast aside patriotic feelings to lay England for victory against exciting Chile...

"England’s last meeting with Chile came in February 1998 at Wembley, losing 2-0."
Best Bet: Lay England to win @ 11/102.12

England's last meeting with Chile came in February 1998 at Wembley, losing 2-0
Roy Hodgson may have lost just one of his 22 games as England manager and got fans out of their seats with some sparkling attacking performances against Poland and Montenegro but there are still question marks regarding this England's team's ability to mix it with the international heavyweights. Chile are probably punching in the cruiserweight division in that regard, but they will come out swinging at Wembley, and ultimately connect more often than not. Jorge Sampaoli's men qualified through South America's World Cup qualification group with minimal fuss, finishing comfortably in third place and can boast noteworthy draws in friendlies against Spain (2-2) and away to Brazil (2-2) in the last seven months. La Roja are also unbeaten in nine internationals, winning six and drawing three. England look woefully short in the outright market.
Best Bet: Lay England to win @ 11/102.12

There have been 13 goals in Chile's last three internationals, averaging out at 4.33 a game
This trend for goals, goals and more goals when Chile are in town can be strengthened further given than the visitors have scored 19 times in their last six international fixtures, averaging 3.33 a game. Sampaoli's side play a furiously fast and gung-ho style of football, especially in friendlies where all of their last nine encounters have gone over 2.5 goals. England, who have scored 10 in their last four games, also have a habit of releasing the defensive shackles in friendlies as five of their last six meaningless matches have seen over 2.5 goal backers collecting. The 10/111.92 available for three goals or more to fly in here is certainly worth respect but with such free-flowing tactics likely to be employed by the Chileans, whose striker Alexis Sanchez has scored six in his last six for his country, it should prove profitable to be a greedy guts, so bank on over 3.5 goals to get a juicier return.
Recommended Bet: Back Over 3.5 Goals @ 9/43.3

Wayne Rooney has scored nine goals in his last 10 England internationals
If England are to go against our prediction and triumph then our advice would be to back Rooney to fire first rather than lump on the outright England win to maximise value. When the Three Lions play well in London, Rooney is at the heart of it. He has notched the first goal of the game in both of England's last two home games and in four of his last six starts at Wembley.
Recommended Bet: Back Rooney to score first @ 11/26.6

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