Opta Big Match Stats: Lay Arsenal to beat Liverpool

November is often a troubling month for Arsene Wenger

Lewis Jones has cast his eye over the Opta stats and sees sufficient logic to ignore quotes for an Arsenal victory....

"November is Arsenal’s least productive month in Premier League history with the Gunners gaining only 1.55 points per game."
Best Bet: Lay Arsenal to beat Liverpool @ 11/82.34

November is Arsenal's least productive month in Premier League history with the Gunners gaining only 1.55 points per game
Pinching and punching Arsenal fans at the start of November not only leaves them with unnecessarily bruised arms, but acts as a stark reminder that when the month of Guy Fawkes comes around, the Gunners' form usually goes up in flames. Although their Premier League form has been exemplary, winning seven of their last eight matches, recent performances suggest that a November collapse could once again be around the corner. Home reverses to Borussia Dortmund and Chelsea, along with an unconvincing 2-0 triumph over Crystal Palace, hardly inspires confidence for a punt on the 11/82.32-rated home win.
Best Bet: Lay Arsenal to win @ 11/82.34

Arsenal have lost just one of their last 12 clashes with Liverpool, winning four and drawing seven
Liverpool aren't exactly flourishing when taking on the north Londoners but it would be unfair to declare that the Gunners have a dominant stranglehold on this fixture either. Backing the draw in that period would have yielded tidy profit as both teams tend to see a point as a positive result against a team with similar expectations. In fact, eight of the last 15 matches involving these two sides have finished in stalemate, throwing up a ratio that suggests that in every 100 games played between these two, 53 times the result would be a draw. Using that theory, the price on a draw should be odds-on - it's not. The market has the draw trading around 5/23.5. Punters are advised to act accordingly but also cover the game finishing 1-1 as of those eight draws, six have finished with each side scoring just once.
Recommended Bet: Back the 1-1 draw @ 13/27.6

Daniel Sturridge has scored a single goal in eight of his (and Liverpool's) nine league fixtures this season, with Southampton the only team to shut him out
The England striker's stock continues to grow as he continues to prove a very reliable source of goals. Including his efforts on the international scene, the lethal hitman has found the net 17 times in his last 19 appearances. Lining up against Arsenal's Laurent Koscielny and Per Mertesacker should hold no fears for the sassy Sturridge.
Recommended Bet: Back Sturridge to score first @ 7/18.0

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