Chelsea need to beat Newcastle if they are to stand any chance of qualifying for the Champions League. Opta rates their chances.
"The Magpies have conceded just six goals in their last 10 Premier League home games, and never more than once in a match in that time."
Newcastle are unbeaten in their last four home Premier League games against Chelsea, scoring at least twice in each match (W3 D1). They are [6.4] to win.
However, Chelsea are unbeaten in their last four Premier League meetings with Newcastle (W3 D1), netting 12 goals in the process. Chelsea are [1.62] to claim victory.
Only two teams have scored at least twice in five successive Premier League home games against Chelsea - Liverpool (6 between 1992 and 1997) and Leicester (5 between 1998 and 2002). Over 2.5 goals is [1.9].
Newcastle have been shown more red cards on the final day of a Premier League campaign than any other side (7), including Aleksandar Mitrovic being sent off in their most recent such match (vs Spurs in 2015-16). The odds of there being a sending off in the match are [7.0].
Chelsea are responsible for the biggest closing day victory in Premier League history, beating Wigan 8-0 to secure the title in 2009-10. They are [2.5] to win half-time/full-time.
The Magpies have conceded just six goals in their last 10 Premier League home games, and never more than once in a match in that time. Under 2.5 goals is [2.1].
After a run of three successive away defeats, Chelsea have won their last three Premier League games on the road, each by a one-goal margin. They are [7.0] to win 1-0.
Rafael Benitez has yet to win a Premier League game against a club he used to manage, drawing three and losing one against Liverpool, and losing against Chelsea in the reverse fixture (1-3). The draw is [4.2].
Olivier Giroud has scored eight goals in nine Premier League appearances against Newcastle, more than he has vs any other opponent. Giroud is [2.4] to score.
Dan Fitch 2017/18 Season P/L
Staked: 448.0 pts
Returned: 464.37 pts
P/L: +16.37 pts