Opta Stats: Newcastle v Brighton

Newcastle manager Steve Bruce.
Can Steve Bruce win his first home game as Newcastle manager when his team face Brighton?

Newcastle can climb out of the relegation zone and above Brighton if they can claim three points. Opta rates their chances.

"There have been just four goals scored in the four previous Premier League meetings between Newcastle and Brighton, with neither side scoring more than once in any match."

Under 2.5 goals is 1.75/7.

After winning home and away against Brighton when both sides were promoted from the Championship in 2016-17, Newcastle haven't won any of their Premier League meetings with the Seagulls (D2 L2). The draw is 3.259/4.

Only against West Ham (5) do Brighton have a better unbeaten record in the Premier League than they do against Newcastle (4 - W2 D2). A Brighton win is 3.211/5.

There have been just four goals scored in the four previous Premier League meetings between Newcastle and Brighton, with neither side scoring more than once in any match. Under 2.5 goals is 1.75/7.

Brighton have only lost two of their last 10 league games against Newcastle (W4 D4 L2), with both defeats coming in the 2016-17 Championship season, when the two sides were both promoted to the Premier League. The Seagulls are 2.26/5 in the Draw No Bet market.

Brighton have won just one of their last 14 Premier League matches (W1 D5 L8), scoring just eight goals and drawing a blank on eight occasions in the process. A Newcastle win is 2.568/5.

After winning five consecutive home Premier League games between January and March, Newcastle have only mustered one win in their last five at St. James' Park (W1 D1 L3). Brighton are 1.618/13 in the Double Chance market.

Newcastle United have the lowest Expected Goals value in the Premier League this season (3.52), while only Crystal Palace (4) have recorded fewer 'big chances' than the Magpies (5). Under 1.5 goals is 2.9215/8.

Brighton striker Neal Maupay has netted seven goals in his last 11 league games (2 for Brighton and 5 for Brentford) after failing to score in the five before that. Maupay is 3.412/5 to score.

Pascal Groß has created 148 goalscoring chances in the Premier League, 80 more than any other Brighton player in the competition's history. Indeed, only Eden Hazard (182), Christian Eriksen (178) and Kevin De Bruyne (161) have created more chances in the PL than Groß since his debut in the competition in August 2017. Over 2.5 goals is 2.427/5.

Steve Bruce is looking to avoid becoming only the second Newcastle manager to fail to win his opening three Premier League games at St. James' Park after Steve McClaren. The draw half-time/full-time is 4.84/1.

Dan Fitch 2019/20 Season P/L

Staked: 136.00 pts
Returned: 145.27 pts
P/L: +9.27 pts

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