Opta Stats: Newcastle v Bournemouth

Can Rafa Benitez inspire Newcastle when they host Bournemouth?
Can Rafa Benitez inspire Newcastle when they host Bournemouth?

Newcastle could move into the top six of the Premier League with a win over Bournemouth. Opta rates their chances.

"The Magpies haven’t beaten Bournemouth at St. James’ Park since February 1990, with a Mick Quinn brace helping them to a 3-0 win – they’ve drawn one and lost one in all competitions since that victory."

Newcastle are 2.0621/20 to roll back the years.

This is just the fifth league meeting between the sides and only the third in the Premier League - both teams won one game each in the 2015/16 campaign, with Bournemouth winning 3-1 at St. James' Park in Steve McClaren's last game in charge of Newcastle. Bournemouth are 4.216/5 to win again.

The Magpies haven't beaten Bournemouth at St. James' Park since February 1990, with a Mick Quinn brace helping them to a 3-0 win - they've drawn one and lost one in all competitions since that victory. Newcastle are 2.0621/20 to roll back the years.

The last home match before Rafa Benitez took charge of Newcastle was a 3-1 defeat to Bournemouth in March 2016 - in the 38 matches he's managed at St. James' Park in all competitions, the Magpies have won 25 with a win ratio of 66%, while in the 38 before he took over they won just 13 (34%). Newcastle are 1.4740/85 in the draw no bet market.

Benitez has managed five home Premier League matches for Newcastle on a Saturday and won all five - indeed, the Spaniard has lost only one of his last 58 home Premier League matches on Saturday (W47 D10), losing 1-0 to Man Utd in March 2007. Newcastle are 3.412/5 to win half-time/full-time.

Bournemouth won their last away Premier League game at Stoke, but have only managed back-to-back away victories in the competition once before - in December 2015 when they won at Chelsea and West Bromwich Albion. Bournemouth are 3.02/1 in the draw no bet market.

The Cherries have made their worst start to a Premier League campaign after 10 games (seven points); fewer than in 2016-17 (12) and 2015-16 (8). They had also scored twice as many goals at this stage in both their previous Premier League seasons (12, compared to six this season). Newcastle are 3.4012/5 to win to nil.

Jermain Defoe has scored on each of his last three Premier League visits to St James' Park - in October 2011 and August 2012 with Tottenham, and with Sunderland in March 2016. Defoe is 3.55/2 to score.

Defoe's next goal will be his 200th in league competition. He's currently scored 91 for Spurs, 34 for Sunderland, 29 for West Ham, 19 for Bournemouth, 15 for Portsmouth and 11 for Toronto FC. He's 8.07/1 to score the first goal.

Dan Fitch 2017/18 Season P/L

Staked: 45 pts
Returned: 41.09 pts
P/L: -3.91 pts

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