Champions League Opta Stats: Porto to secure a draw

Porto's star man Joao Moutinho in action

Wednesday hosts the last ties of the Champions League round-of-16. Christian Crowther offers some Opta-infused tips...

"Porto are unbeaten in their last eight Champions League games against Spanish opposition (four wins, four draws). Real Madrid are the last Spanish side to beat Porto in Europe's premier competition, in October 2003."
Recommended Bet: Back the draw in Malaga v Porto @ 3.45

Bayern Munich v Arsenal, Wednesday 19:45, Sky Sports 2 

Bayern Munich have won all three of their home games in the competition this season (12 goals, three conceded)
The chances of Arsenal overcoming this deficit are about as remote as the Arctic Circle given their previous form when visiting Germany. Despite travelling there eight times in the Champions League, Arsene Wenger's side have only ever left the country with a solitary win. Moreover, the Gunners have lost their last two visits to the Bundesliga leaders, scoring just once and conceding four. Arsenal also represent the competition's lowest scorers at this stage.
Recommended Bet: Back Bayern Munich to win to nil @ 2.6213/8

Bayern Munich have scored in each of their last 13 Champions League games, the last team to stop them from netting being Basel in February 2012
In stark contrast to their visitors, the free-scoring Bavarians have notched in every one of their last 13 Champions League games and boast no fewer than 10 different scorers in this season's tournament within their ranks. Bayern also represent the top scorers in the competition this season with 18 goals to date and they face an Arsenal side with the joint worst defensive record.
Recommended Bet: Back Bayern Munich to score two or more goals @ 2.35/4


Malaga v Porto, Wednesday 19:45, Sky Sports 4

Porto are unbeaten in their last eight Champions League games against Spanish opposition (four wins, four draws); Real Madrid are the last Spanish side to beat Porto in Europe's premier competition, in October 2003
Malaga are hard to beat at home but Porto are no strangers to this stage of the competition and their experience should help them to negotiate this second-leg tie against the Champions League novices. Weighing massively in the Portuguese side's favour is the fact they didn't concede the killer away goal when they overcame the Spaniards a fortnight ago. Porto clearly relish an Iberian tussle too.
Recommended Bet: Back the draw @ 3.45
 
Malaga are the only team yet to concede a first-half goal in the Champions League this season
The onus will clearly be on Malaga to come flying out of the blocks and try to get themselves back in the tie early on. Malaga are not in great form domestically, but they will be concentrating all their efforts in front of their fans here. The Spaniards' last two goals have arrived inside the 20-minute mark, so taking a lead into the break is a real possibility for Manuel Pellegrini's men.
Recommended Bet: Back Malaga to lead at half-time and draw at full-time @ 17.5

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