Aston Villa are hovering just outside the relegation zone and badly need a win against Newcastle? Opta rates their chances.
"Coming into the weekend’s fixtures, no side has conceded more headed goals in the Premier League this season than Aston Villa (5), while only Everton (46%) have scored a higher share of their goals from headers than Newcastle (36% - 4/11)."
Aston Villa are winless in six home league games against Newcastle, with the last two top-flight meetings between the sides at Villa Park finishing 0-0. Another 0-0 draw is 11.521/2.
Newcastle are unbeaten in their last 12 league meetings with Aston Villa (W6 D6) since a 0-1 loss at Villa Park in April 2011. The draw is 3.613/5.
Since a 1-4 defeat at Villa Park in February 2008, Newcastle haven't conceded more than once in any of their last 16 league meetings with Aston Villa, shipping nine goals in total in that run (seven clean sheets). Under 2.5 goals is 2.01/1.
Aston Villa have lost their last three Premier League games, last enduring a longer run of defeats in the competition between February-April 2016 (11). A Newcastle win is 3.9.
Newcastle have lost 12 of their last 15 Premier League games played on a Monday (W2 D1), with all 15 games being played away from home. Aston Villa are 2.1411/10 to win.
Newcastle have won their last two Premier League games and are looking to win three in a row for the first time since November 2018. They've not won back-to-back away games in the competition since January 2018, the first of which was also a 3-2 win at West Ham. Newcastle are 1.824/5 in the Double Chance market.
Seven of Newcastle's last nine Premier League goals have been scored by defenders. Indeed, a league-high 64% of Newcastle's total Premier League goals this season have been netted by defenders (7/11). Over 2.5 goals is 1.9620/21.
Coming into the weekend's fixtures, no side has conceded more headed goals in the Premier League this season than Aston Villa (5), while only Everton (46%) have scored a higher share of their goals from headers than Newcastle (36% - 4/11). Both teams to score is 1.768/11.
Newcastle manager Steve Bruce has lost two of his last three games in all competitions against sides he's previously managed (D1), with his last such match being a 1-3 loss against Aston Villa. An Aston Villa win and both teams to score is 4.3100/30.
Aston Villa forward Trezeguet has scored in his last two Premier League games - the last player to score in three in a row in the top-flight for the Villans was Tom Cleverley in May 2015. He's 4.3100/30 to find the net.
Dan Fitch 2019/20 Season P/L
Staked: 176.00 pts
Returned: 179.92 pts
P/L: +3.92 pts