Opta Stats: Arsenal v Watford

Dan Fitch
27 September 2018

Can Javi Gracia's Watford retain their place in the top four when they travel to Arsenal?

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Sixth placed Arsenal host a Watford team that are currently fourth. Opta tries to prise them apart.

"This is the first time Watford (4th) are facing Arsenal (6th) ahead of them in the league table since September 1984."

The draw is 5.24/1.

Arsenal have won eight of their 10 Premier League games against Watford. An Arsenal win is 1.4840/85.

Watford have picked up three victories in their last six matches versus Arsenal in all competitions (L3), this after losing each of the previous six in a row. A Watford victory is 7.413/2.

This is the first time Watford (4th) are facing Arsenal (6th) ahead of them in the league table since September 1984. The draw is 5.24/1.

Arsenal's last home Premier League defeat in a game kicking off at 3pm on a Saturday was on the opening day of the 2013-14 season (1-3 vs Aston Villa). Since then they've taken 56 of a possible 60 points in such matches (P20 W18 D2 L0). Arsenal are 2.26/5 to win half-time/full-time.

Arsenal have won their last four Premier League games, last winning five in a row back in August 2017 (a run of six). The draw half-time/Arsenal full-time double result is 5.04/1.

Arsenal have only failed to score in two of their last 36 Premier League home games, with both of those games coming against Manchester City (0-3 in March and 0-2 in August). Over 2.5 goals is 1.4740/85.

Watford have avoided defeat in both of their games on the road this season (W1 D1). The Hornets are 3.052/1 in the Double Chance market.

Watford have lost 15 of their last 16 away games against the 'big six' sides in the Premier League, though the solitary win in that run did come at the Emirates (2-1 in January 2017). Both teams to score is 1.68/13.

Arsenal striker Alexandre Lacazette has scored in each of his last four home starts in the Premier League, netting five goals in total. The last player to score in five successive starts at the Emirates for Arsenal was Robin van Persie in the 2011-12 campaign. Lacazette is 2.01/1 to find the net.

Watford's Andre Gray is looking to score in three consecutive Premier League games for the first time. He last did so in league competition in March 2016, in the Championship with Burnley. Gray is 4.67/2 to score.

Since his debut in the competition, only Mohamed Salah (16) has scored more Premier League goals than Arsenal's Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (12, level with Harry Kane). Aubameyang is 1.834/5 to add to his tally.

Dan Fitch 2018/19 Season P/L

Staked: 53.00 pts
Returned: 50.57 pts
P/L: -2.43 pts