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Lee Dixon: Tottenham to avoid defeat against the league leaders

Lee fancies Jermain Defoe to score against United on Sunday

"I think Tottenham have enough about them to get something out of this and will be getting the home win and draw onside with a lay of United."

Lay United @ 2.546/4

It should be another exciting game between two excellent sides says Lee Dixon, but with home advantage and some excellent recent form, our man can't see Spurs losing this one...

United did not impress against West Ham on Wednesday and a repeat of that performance will see Tottenham do a rare double over the Manchester giants for the first time since 1989 - a period otherwise known as the Lineker years!

Of course, Sir Alex rested many of his big guns for the midweek cup fixture and United will doubtless be at full strength for this Sunday afternoon test at White Hart Lane.

And they will have to be because Andre Villas-Boas has Spurs in very good nick at present with seven wins, two draws and a solitary defeat from the last 10 league games.

The visitors bring their own good form too, and Betfair customers make United favourites here at 2.526/4 but Tottenham are not far behind at 3.02/1, with the draw hugely tempting at 3.613/5.

The home side may have bragging rights following the 3-2 win at Old Trafford, but the Reds really should have taken a point that day with countless chances missed as United chased the draw and pressed hard.

We saw five goals that day and something similar is eminently possible on Sunday. The market points to it with Over 2.5 Goals odds-on at 1.728/11 and it's hard to argue against a goalfest, though recent results at White Hart Lane do include a pair of 0-0 draws (sandwiched between 3-1 wins for the visitors). So it's a fixture that always seems to promise a lot but perhaps hasn't lived up to that. Maybe Sunday will be different?

At home, I fancy Tottenham to give anyone a game. They play an exciting brand of football with pace on either wing. I fancy Gareth Bale and Aaron Lennon will get some joy against the United wingbacks, who, for all their attacking menace do not always convince defensively. Upfront, Jermain Defoe has threatened all season. United possess phenomenal attacking talent and you have to fancy both teams will score - as a Betfair back price of 1.538/15 suggests - with a few goals apiece.

I think Tottenham have enough about them to get something out of this and will be getting the home win and draw onside with a lay of United.

Rather than get involved with the over/under goals markets I will keep it simple with a back of Defoe and in the Red corner, Robin van Persie to score. Backing the Dutchman is a no-brainer when he's in this form and at odds-against I can't leave him out of my Sunday bets.

Recommended Bets

Lay United @ 2.546/4
Back Jermain Defoe To Score @ 3.02/1
Back Robin van Persie To Score @ 2.26/5

The Betfair's Trader's View: Alan Thompson

Man Utd have scored two or more goals in eight of their 11 away games this season and their games are averaging 3.73 goals per game on the road. Tottenham have only failed to score twice at White Hart Lane this season makes the Over 2.5 Goals market at 1.72 a good value bet to me. 

To trade the game I will be backing Over 3.5 Goals at 2.8 from the kick-off. Should I not get the early goal, I will then back Over 2.5 in running when it reaches 2.0 giving me insurance on my over 3.5 goals bet. Should the early goal come you have a choice to make you can either cash out or at least make it a free bet on Over 3.5 Goals by laying back your stake.

The Tactical View: Michael Cox

I fear for Spurs without Sandro in the holding role. The Brazilian has been excellent alongside Mousa Dembele this season, and although Scott Parker is a decent replacement, he's yet to start alongside Dembele, so Spurs don't have a great partnership there. This will be a real problem area if Wayne Rooney returns to the side, and will probably be the most important zone in the game. That said, Spurs have the attacking dynamism to hurt United, particularly down the flanks, and 1.7 for Over 2.5 Goals looks good value to me.

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18 January 2013

Premier League


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