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Lee Dixon: Newcastle to return to winning ways v Wigan

Can Cisse rediscover his scoring touch?

I think Newcastle will win and I've got a feeling that they're going to score two or more.

Recommended Bet
Back Newcastle @ 2.01n/a
Back over 2.5 goals @ 1.981/1

Newcastle United are enduring a terrible run of form but Lee Dixon reckons the Toon will have something to celebrate on Monday night... 

Where has it all gone wrong for Newcastle this season? They were the Premier League's surprise package last season, although I was amazed that Alan Pardew was offered and agreed an eight year contract, and played some of the best football in the division.

This term, after a decent enough start, they are languishing in 14th place, level on points with opponents Wigan, and one alarming Opta stat stands out from all others: The Magpies have the same number of points after 14 games as they did in 2008-09 when they ended the season being relegated.

That's frightening for fans. Too good to go down? With such a talented squad, Newcastle should be looking up the table, not down, but that's what we thought four years ago. St James' Park was an intimidating place to go as a player, because the players always rose to the passion of the fans. Some of that aura was returning last season but I'm not sure Wigan will feel too much trepidation on Monday night.

Newcastle have struggled with goals all season, averaging one a game, and when you aren't finding the net teams don't fear you. Inconsistency has been Newcastle's problem but in the last few games they've found some consistency, but it's the wrong kind: they've lost four in a row in the league, including their last two at home. They're only two points off third bottom so they need to dispatch Wigan.

And here's the good news for the Toon: I think Newcastle will win. After losing a lead at Stoke in midweek there were probably a few strong words from Pardew. The Geordie faithful will be needed but they're a loyal lot, Wigan offer scant threat up front and I expect this to be the night the Geordies get their groove back.

Papiss Cisse got Newcastle's goal against Stoke. He looked a revelation when he arrived but this term he's only scored four goals. Still, if I was the manager I would persevere with him and Demba Ba, who has notched eight, as both are quality performers. With neither side showing much cop up front, you'd think unders was the way to go but sometimes the dam bursts at once. I think Newcastle will win and I've got a feeling that they're going to score two or more.

Recommended Bet
Back Newcastle @ 2.01n/a
Back over 2.5 goals @ 1.981/1

The Tactical View: Michael Cox

This is a tough match to call – Newcastle are in terrible form, but Wigan are one of the Premier League’s more unpredictable sides. I can’t help noticing that Newcastle have conceded exactly two goals in their last three league matches, while Wigan have conceded two, two, three and two in their last four. Both defences are in a terrible state at the moment – and 3.55 for over 3.5 goals looks good to me.

The Betfair Trader's View: Alan Thompson

Newcastle are on a terrible run at the minute and Wigan have never won at St James' Park. Wigan do have an incredible half-time record this season, having drawn all six of their away games 0-0 at half time but they have yet to record a 0-0 full time scoreline.

This looks like an under 2.5 goals and I was surprised to see it at approx 2.0 that looks like a good bet to me. If Wigan do get their seventh away 0-0 at half-time then you will be able to cash out for a guaranteed profit or leave it as a free bet by laying your stake back at half-time when that price should be around the 1.25 mark.

Another bet in the game is Newcastle in the corners match bet market, Wigan are yet to win this market on their six away trips only managing one tie. They are averaging only three corners per game away from home while Newcastle average 6.8 on home soil.

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01 December 2012

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