Italian Serie A

Serie A Tips: Inter will take step towards Scudetto in Milan derby at 5/2

Lautaro Martinez
Will Inter beat their local rivals AC Milan on Monday night?

Dan Fitch is backing Inter to claim a vital win against AC Milan to move extremely close to securing the title, as he previews the weekend Serie A action.

  • Inter can take three vital points from AC Milan

  • Back low scoring relegation fight

  • Torino rarely concede at home

  • Roma run will continue against Bologna


Sassuolo v Lecce (Sunday, 11:30)

With six games remaining of the Serie A season, both Sassuolo and Lecce remain under threat of relegation.

It is Sassuolo that are facing the greater anxiety. Currently 19th in the table with 26 points, they can climb out of the relegation zone with a win, but have had precious few of those of late. A home victory against Frosinone is their only win from their last 13 games (D4 L8). They are at least showing signs of putting up a fight under their new manager Davide Ballardini, with only Roma beating Sassuolo in their last five games. Ballardini's side have drawn their last three games, which included a 3-3 battle with AC Milan last weekend.

Lecce are up in 13th place, but are only five points clear of the drop zone. They too have a new manager and have only lost once since Luca Gotti was appointed (P4 W2 D1 L1). With Lecce keeping things relatively tight, let's combine both teams to score with under 3.5 goals at 9/52.80.

Back both teams to score and under 3.5 goals at 20/231.87

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Torino v Frosinone (Sunday, 14:00)

Another relegation threatened team face a tough task on Sunday, when Frosinone travel to Torino.

The hosts drew 0-0 in their home derby against Juventus last weekend. That result means that they have only lost one of their last six games (D3 L2). Torino are very difficult to beat at home, with only Inter and Lazio managing to do so in Serie A this season. This form has been largely built on a watertight defence, with Torino only conceding once in their last seven home matches.

Frosinone have picked up surprise points with draws against Bologna and Napoli in their last two games. Yet the fact remains that they have not won any of their last eleven games (D4 L7) and remain 18th in the table. Avoid the result and go for under 2.5 goals at 20/231.87, which has landed in each of Torino's last six home games.

Back under 2.5 goals between Torino and Frosinone at 20/231.87

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Roma v Bologna (Monday, 17:30)

There is a delicious starter to go before Monday night's main course, as two Champions League contenders clash when Roma host Bologna.

Serie A has secured one of the extra two Champions League spots next season, meaning that the top five will all feature in the competition next season. As it stands, that would mean that both fifth placed Roma and Bologna in fourth would qualify. Roma have the most to do to secure their position, but everything points to them doing so. After their 2-1 win over AC Milan in midweek to reach the semi-finals of the Europa League, Roma have won twelve of their 17 games under Daniel De Rossi (D3 L2).

Bologna are limping towards the season finish line, having drawn their last two games 0-0, but they are certainly defensively solid, keeping clean sheets in their last four matches. Combine Roma double chance with under 2.5 goals at 9/10.

Back Roma double chance against Bologna and under 2.5 goals at 9/10

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AC Milan v Inter (Monday, 19:45)

The Serie A weekend ends with the big one, as second placed AC Milan take on the runaway leaders Inter in the Derby della Madonnina.

Inter need just four points to secure the Scudetto and nothing could be sweeter for them than to claim three of them against their bitter rivals. The Nerazzurri are 14 points ahead of Milan, even though they have not been at their most convincing since being dumped out of the Champions League by Atletico Madrid, drawing 2-2 at home with Cagliari last week.

AC Milan really have nothing left to play for this season, having lost both legs of their Europa League tie against Roma, which sandwiched a 3-3 draw at Sassuolo. Inter have conceded in four of their last five games. Back them to win and both teams to score at 5/23.50.

Back Inter to beat AC Milan and both teams to score at 5/23.50

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