Serie A Betting: Juve to dish out a hammering to Inter

Expect plenty of Juve goals when they host Inter on Sunday
Expect plenty of Juve goals when they host Inter on Sunday
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Dave Farrar previews this weekend's Serie A action and believes that a poor Inter side could be at the mercy of a Juve side ready to give someone a hammering...

"The reason that "Any Unquoted" in the Correct Score market is as big as 6.25/1 is because Inter are perceived to be a big team, and too strong to be on the wrong end of a thrashing."

Back "Any Unquoted" in Juve v Inter @ 6.25/1

Juventus v Inter
Sunday, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 1

We should start our preview of the weekend with what is still nominally one of the major occasions of any Italian season, but which looks like something of a back number this Sunday night. The Derby D'Italia will doubtless get the build up that it deserves, but I suspect that the game may disappoint.

Inter are a shambles, with issues off the pitch clearly affecting the players on it, and as a result the Nerazzurri have won just one of their last nine League games, and have scored only once in their last four. Walter Mazzarri's rather plaintive cry last week was that the team didn't need reinforcements, but the club needed a change of atmosphere. I'm not sure about the former, but heartily agree that the latter can't come soon enough.

Juventus let us down last week against Lazio, but they actually reinforced just how powerful they are. Down to 10 men and a goal down, they still managed a draw, and with 11 men they are going to be way too powerful for Inter. If you're telling yourself that Inter have made a habit of producing an unbelievable performance from the clouds in recent years, and that they have a chance of causing a shock, then think again. Juve will win, it's just a question of how we support them.

Juve look prohibitively short at 1.454/9 to win, although that's a more than fair price, but I think that they might be in the mood to dish out a hammering.

On six occasions this season they have scored four in a Serie A game, and three of those have come in their last five Serie A games. The reason that "Any Unquoted" in the Correct Score market is as big as 6.25/1 is because Inter are perceived to be a big team, and too strong to be on the wrong end of a thrashing. I'm not so sure. In current mood, Inter are no better than a low to mid-table team, and I expect Juve to treat them like one.

Recommended Bet
Back "Any Unquoted" in Juve v Inter @ 6.25/1

Milan v Torino
Saturday, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 1

Torino haven't won at Milan since 1984/85 and so those of you who like a trend will run a mile from the idea of supporting them to grab a victory this weekend. They're interestingly priced at 6.25/1 to do so, with Milan as short as 1.664/6 to emerge victorious from Saturday night's live TV game.

I don't get the Clarence Seedorf appointment at all, and still strongly believe that the job should have gone to Pippo Inzaghi. Time will tell, but Seedorf has so far started with a lucky win over Verona, a defeat at home against Udinese, and a monumentally lucky victory at Cagliari last week.

Someone pointed out to me on Twitter last week that Napoleon liked his generals to be lucky above any other quality and that's fine. In football terms, though, it's an irrelevance. Can Seedorf show us over the next few weeks that he has what it takes? Can he coax the kind of performances that he needs from his underperforming players?

If he's learning on the job, then the educational process will get tougher on Saturday, as that grizzled veteran Giampiero Ventura brings his obdurate Torino to town, fresh from two consecutive wins that have lifted them to eighth in the table.

Torino are well known as the draw specialists, and it's a result that I'd like to keep on my side, with a nod to the fact that they've already drawn on eight occasions this season. I'm tempted by a big price about Torino, but I'll be laying Milan at a stupidly short price, with the absence of Mario Balotelli yet another reason to make this a solid bet.

Recommended Bet
Lay Milan against Torino @ 1.664/6

Sassuolo v Verona
Sunday, 14:00

A quick word, just finally, about Sassuolo. Now I'd normally have been backing over 2.5 goals with gay abandon in their match up with Verona on Sunday afternoon. Two teams that love to attack, it had all the makings of a seven-goal thriller.

With Sassuolo having dispensed with Eusebio Di Francesco, though, and replaced him with the likeable and experienced Alberto Malesani, I would be very very careful, and in fact think that this game now gives us a very different betting opportunity.

Malesani's first job will be to tighten Sassuolo up, and I think that we'll see the results of his work straightaway. And despite Verona scoring and conceding plenty of goals at home, their away games have been a different story of late. Two of the last three have been rather dull and attritional, and with Verona having now lost three consecutive games,I think you'll see them adopting a more cautious approach.

So the worst defence in Serie A against the third worst away defence in the division would normally lead you to consider a bet on goals, but where both of these clubs are at the moment, and the attitudes that they're likely to adopt, leads me to predict a different outcome.

Recommended Bet
Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 2.01/1

2013/14 P/L (1pt per bet)

Staked: 57 pts
Returned: 70.72 pts
P/L: + 13.72 pts

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