Serie A Betting: Milan magic to beat Viola

Will Carlos Bacca be celebrating for Milan in Florence on Sunday night?
Will Carlos Bacca be celebrating for Milan in Florence on Sunday night?
  • vs

Dave Farrar predicts the new-look Rossoneri to sink Fiorentina, Juventus for a fifth straight Scudetto, and goals in Palermo...

“Having already recommended Juve for the title, Milan and Torino, I can't resist sticking with a theme and having a look at goals in Palermo against Genoa.”

Before the weekend specific previews, a quick note: Juventus are currently trading at around 1.75/7 to win Serie A and that looks a bet. It might not be the sexiest angle in the world, but it could certainly prove lucrative (Michael Lintorn provides a more in-depth preview here).

Juventus have been by far and away the best team in Serie A in recent seasons, and that is once again the case. If anyone else does win Serie A, then it will be because Juve have thrown it away.

Europe won't be a distraction (they reached the Champions League Final last season and still won the League handsomely) and, barring a horrendous run of luck and injuries, Juventus are a certainty. Fill your pink boots at 1.75/7.

Fiorentina v Milan
Sunday, 19:45
LIVE on BT Sport

Both of these clubs would like to think that they could challenge for the Scudetto, but that's not overly realistic. I'm a big fan of Fiorentina's new kit deal with Le Coq Sportif (the gear is retro heaven) but not at all of their new manager.

I enjoyed Paulo Sousa as a player, but just don't see him as a successful Serie A coach. He's a name appointment, rather than a well thought out one, and Milan have done much better, replacing poor Pippo Inzaghi with Sinisa Mihaijlovic.

The new Rossoneri man did a great job with Sampdoria, and is sure to have a realistic crack at sorting out his new club defensively.

If Milan can improve at the back, then they may just have a chance of a Top Four finish this season, with Carlos Bacca and Luiz Adriano having the ability to fire them somewhere special.

Facundo Roncaglia is suspended for the Viola, while Milan miss Jeremy Menez, M'Baye Niang and Philippe Mexes.

I think that Paulo Sousa will be a problem for La Viola and that the feel-good factor may start to be undermined here, as a freshly determined Milan look overpriced at 3.65 to win at the Artemio Franchi.

Recommended Bet
Back Milan to beat Fiorentina at 3.65

Frosinone v Torino
Sunday, 19:45

There's a new name to conjure with in Serie A this season as Frosinone play their first ever game in the big league, taking on potential fall guys Torino.

As a natural romantic, I'd love to see Frosinone come out on top, but Torino are arguably a bit big at 2.26/5, and I wouldn't be surprised to see Giampiero Ventura's men victorious.

Torino were excellent last season, and were slightly unfortunate not to finish higher than ninth in Serie A. They've recruited well over the summer too, adding the likes of Davide Zappacosta, Afriyie Acquah and Daniele Baselli to the squad.

They should have too much for a Frosinone side restructured by Roberto Stellone, and not guaranteed to contain the spirit that has taken them so quickly and so thrillingly into Serie A.

It may well be a case of one side getting to know themselves and the other simply taking care of business.

Recommended Bet
Back Torino to beat Frosinone at 2.265/4

Palermo v Genoa
Sunday, 19:45

I don't want to overload you on the opening weekend, and having already recommended Juve for the title, Milan and Torino, I can't resist sticking with a theme and having a look at goals in Palermo against Genoa.

After all, six of Genoa's last seven Serie A games featured Over 3.5 Goals, and this column took advantage. They've lost Iago Falque and Andrea Bertolacci, which costs them a little in terms of quality and ambition, but Goran Pandev looks a safe signing. Above all it was Gian Piero Gasperini's approach, rather than specific players, that made Genoa so much fun at the end of last season.

Palermo have lost Paulo Dybala, and with him goes goals, but they've done their best to replace him, still have Franco Vazquez, and all of the summer departures for both sides are factored into the price.

The market has overreacted to Falque and Dybala waving goodbye to this fixture. A game involving Genoa in particular should never see Over 2.5 goals trading at 2.26/5. We should take advantage of that price being available.

On top of all that, Genoa have Armando Izzo, Tomas Rincon, Leonardo Pavoletti and Isaac Cofie suspended, while Mattia Perin, Diego Perotti and Ezequiel Munoz are among the injury absentees. Watch out for ex-Manchester City youngster Olivier Ntcham on his Serie A debut.

Recommended Bet
Back Over 2.5 Goals in Palermo v Genoa @ 2.26/5

Get a Free £/€20 Exchange Bet

  • Join Now - Open account using promo code VAL225
  • Bet - Place a £/€20 Bet on the Exchange
  • Earn We'll Refund You £/€20 If the Bet Loses

T&Cs apply.

Discover the latest articles

Read past articles