Serie A Betting: Leaky Inter, exciting Sassuolo and desperate Sampdoria

Parma striker Andreas Cornelius
Parma striker Andreas Cornelius is fresh off a hat-trick against Genoa and now faces a leaky Inter defence
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Dave Farrar predicts plenty of goals at the Stadio Tardini and Mapei Stadium, while the Blucerchiati's struggle against relegation can fuel their victory over Bologna...

“It’s now one clean sheet in 10 in the League for Inter, and given Parma’s quality in forward areas, as well as Milan Skriniar’s ban, that makes “Yes” to Both teams to score a bet once again”

Inter can't keep it clean

Parma v Inter
Sunday, 20.45
Live on Premier Sports 1 and Betfair Live Video

I talked in midweek about Inter Milan's frailty and once again it was writ large as they fought hard, but ultimately limped to a 3-3 draw with Sassuolo: great for the neutral, but just about the end of Inter's title chances.

No matter which way you spin it, it's Inter's defending, their lapses in concentration, that have cost them the chance of winning another Scudetto in what has been a weak year for Juventus. Inter may just rue this season for some time.

Once again they face a tricky opponent, this time in the shape of an inconsistent Parma. They drew 2-2 at San Siro earlier in the season, and have showed that they can trouble the bigger clubs, as well as make mistakes against some of the smaller ones, as they've made their way to seventh in the table. Right now, that would see them in a Europa League place for next season, and so there's every incentive.

It's now one clean sheet in 10 in the League for Inter, and given Parma's quality in forward areas, as well as Milan Skriniar's ban, that makes "Yes" to Both teams to score a bet once again at [1.94].

Scintillating Sassuolo

Sassuolo v Verona
Sunday, 18.30
Live on Betfair Live Video

Sassuolo have come out of lockdown like they mean business, and after they troubled Atalanta before succumbing in Bergamo, they were unfortunate not to beat Inter at San Siro in a thrilling 3-3 draw.

Roberto De Zerbi has always instinctively wanted to play this way, tempering his natural attacking instincts in favour of expediency on occasion, but given that his team are safe, I think he feels free to play the way that he wants, and in these surreal surroundings, he's determined to do his best to entertain.

That has made for 11 goals in Sassuolo's first two post lockdown games, and I think there'll be more here. Verona have built their season on a strong defensive base, but they conceded against Cagliari in their first game back, before losing 2-0 at home against Napoli, and in all honesty, Ivan Juric's team have looked a little shaky. I think that Sassuolo can take advantage and drag them into the kind of game they may not want.

Earlier in the season, Sassuolo did well to go to Verona and win 1-0. This time round I think they may be similarly successful, but in a very different kind of game.

Desperation fuels Samp

Sampdoria v Bologna
Sunday, 18.30
Live on Betfair Live Video

The last time that Sampdoria won back to back Serie A home games was nearly 18 months ago, but they sorely need to repeat that feat against Bologna. Samp are in trouble, and need some breathing space.

Claudio Ranieri's team went to Roma in midweek, and led for a long time before capitulating in the second half, and that result will surely give them hope against a Bologna side who surrendered fairly tamely against Juventus on Monday.

Samp have won 9 of their last 12 home games against Bologna, but with no fans at Marassi those kind of stats become ever more meaningless, and this result may well come down to the well-worn footballing trope of who wants it more.

The answer to that will surely be Samp, for all that Bologna still have an outside chance of Europe, and a coach who used to sit on the Samp bench.

Are Ranieri's team good enough? Just about. They showed fighting qualities in their first two games back against Inter and Roma, scoring in both, and they know how much of a clutch game this is. There isn't much room for manoeuvre down at the bottom and with relegation rivals Lecce to come in midweek, this will be a defining few days for Ranieri and his team.

Bologna are a danger, but for me, at the prices, Samp will scrape an ugly win.

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Dave's P/L

Staked: 75 Points
Return: 70.69 points
P/L: -4.31 points

Dave Farrar,

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