Serie A Betting: Back Roma to rule the Capital and overpriced Juve to win

Daniele De Rossi and Miroslav Klose will face off in one of the most important Rome derbies for years
Daniele De Rossi and Miroslav Klose will face off in one of the most important Rome derbies for years
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Dave Farrar predicts a Giallorossi victory in the derby, Juventus to see off Napoli and goals in Genoa-Inter...


“This is one of the most important Rome derbies in recent seasons, and I have to confess that I favour Roma. After their title challenge started to look increasingly weak, the Giallorossi lost their form, but they have picked up impressively to give themselves a realistic chance of second place.”

Lazio v Roma
Monday, 17:00
Live on BT Sport 1

After winning so impressively at Sampdoria last week, Lazio were disappointed to lose a closely contested Coppa Italia final in extra time against Juventus on Wednesday night. Lazio's extraordinary season deserved silverware, but now a Champions League place is all they have left to aim for.

This weekend's game is crucial in that regard, and should Lazio lose to their city rivals, then third place is potentially vulnerable to a strong finish to the Napoli season.

Remember that the campaign finishes with Napoli playing Lazio, so if Rafa Benitez and his men can stay in touch, then they'll be confident of snatching third. That makes this one of the most important Rome derbies in recent seasons, and I have to confess that I favour Roma.

After their title challenge started to look increasingly weak, Roma lost their form, but they have picked up impressively to give themselves a realistic chance of second place.

They've won three of their last four and shouldn't be as big as 3.1511/5 to get the victory here. Lazio played 120 minutes on Wednesday night, possibly losing Stefan Radu in the process, while Lucas Biglia remains highly unlikely to recover in time.

Because of all of that, rarely has a Rome derby meant more in recent seasons, and I give Roma a narrow edge.

Recommended Bet
Back Roma to beat Lazio @ 3.1511/5


Juventus v Napoli
Saturday, 17:00
Live on BT Sport 1

Napoli did their level best to blow it on Monday night against Cesena. Having faded in the second half of the season, they knew that they had to beat an already relegated club to stay in the Champions League race. When they trailed early, and were level at half time, it seemed that they might have messed up their final chance.

A stellar performance from Dries Mertens meant that they got the win they needed, and don't think for a second that an underperformance against Cesena means that Napoli will necessarily fail against Juventus.

They have a habit of playing well against the bigger teams in Serie A, and stuttering against the minnows. If you fancy something similar to happen here, then Napoli are 2.546/4 to come away with the victory.

It seems strange that Napoli are favourites, especially considering the Bianconeri will be parading the Serie A trophy and Coppa Italia in front of their fans, so want to end the campaign on a high note.

Stephan Lichtsteiner and Kalidou Koulibaly are suspended, while Martin Caceres, Romulo, Juan Camilo Zuniga, Jonathan de Guzman and Michu are sidelined. Expect Alvaro Morata and Claudio Marchisio to start, as they were suspended for the Coppa Italia Final.

Recommended Bet
Back Juventus to beat Napoli @ 3.052/1


Genoa v Inter
Saturday, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 1

Genoa have been full of goals in recent weeks, and that theme looks set to continue as they host an Inter team still smarting from their defeat by Juve last week.

It's been an excellent season for Genoa, and sixth place in Serie A with two matches remaining is some achievement for Gian Piero Gasperini and his team. If they could snatch fifth off their neighbours Sampdoria, then the season would go from special to perfect, and there's no real reason to believe that they won't attack Inter as they have done everyone else in recent weeks.

There is, of course, the issue of motivation being dampened by recent events off the field. Genoa saw their appeal for a UEFA licence rejected and look increasingly unlikely to be allowed into the Europa League, even if they do finish in the top six. That means seventh would be enough for Inter to make one last desperate bid for qualification.

Injuries are also piling up, as Diego Perotti, M'Baye Niang, Marco Borriello and Lorenzo Ariaudo are ruled out for the rest of the season.

Recommended Bet
Over 3.5 Goals in Genoa v Inter @ 2.546/4


2014-15 P/L

Staked: 18
Returned: 16.02
P/L: -2.98

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