After four winners from four selections last week, and six winners from the last seven, Dave Farrar is back with his best bets from Serie A, predicting Napoli and Lazio to provide tons of goals, Bologna to thump Frosinone and a Palermo upset at Milan...
“After four winners from four selections last week, and six winners from the last seven, we have a chance to build on a good early start and I don’t think that there’s any real reason to desert last week’s winning themes.”
We have a chance to build on a good early start and I don't think that there's any real reason to desert last week's winning themes. This week's column, as a result, will be mercifully short, as there's no point repeating arguments that have already served us well. When the themes change, then we can argue again.
Napoli v Lazio
Live on BT Sport Europe
With Napoli potent at one end and vulnerable at the other, and with the recent record of goals at the San Paolo, we should stick with Over 2.5 and 3.5 goals in this one. Lazio looked threatening in their rain-drenched win over Udinese last week. They still look eccentric at the back, but Alessandro Matri adds potency up front. An early goal could lead to bucket loads and Over 4.5 and 5.5 goals are worth a look as well. Last season this fixture ended 2-4, a decisive result in the final round to secure third place for Lazio. Napoli will be determined to prove a point after missing out on the Champions League play-offs.
Back Over 2.5 Goals in Napoli v Lazio @ 1.910/11
Back Over 3.5 Goals in Napoli v Lazio @ 3.185/40
Bologna v Frosinone
Frosinone are awful, and I'm not the only one to think it. Bologna may have lost three out of three as well, but at least have looked useful. They are a better side than the newly promoted visitors, considerably so, and must be backed here to make it four defeats out of four for Frosinone.
Back Bologna to beat Frosinone @ 2.01/1
Milan v Palermo
Live on BT Sport Europe
And finally, Palermo are worth a small investment to get something from their trip to Milan. The Rossoneri were better against Inter last week, but they still aren't clicking under Sinisa Mihajlovic, and Palermo are just the kind of team to cause them problems. I know that they conceded two against Carpi last week, but they've been rock solid aside from that, and with Giuseppe Iachini organising them wonderfully, they'll be set up tactically to steal a big away win.
Back Palermo to beat Milan @ 6.05/1