Serie A Betting: Mancini can break Roma

Gervinho is back from injury, but can he inspire Roma to victory against Inter?
Gervinho is back from injury, but can he inspire Roma to victory against Inter?
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Dave Farrar predicts Inter will send Roma spiralling, another Turin Derby day for Juventus, and goals in Napoli v Sampdoria...


“At the turn of the year, you'd never have believed that Roma might end up finishing fourth in Serie A, but defeat here would make that a very real possibility.”

Inter v Roma
Saturday, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 1

In terms of domestic football, it's 11 games since Inter managed to beat Roma, but Roberto Mancini's team is priced at 2.466/4 to do just that this Saturday evening.

The Giallorossi's collapse has been well documented, and it's hard to find a positive thing to say about them in 2015. It's as if the idea of success seemed too much for them, and they just faded away.

The question that concerns us is whether that process will continue on Saturday night, and with Roma having scored just eight times in their last 10 games, Inter will fancy this.

They didn't play particularly well in the Derby last weekend, but the presence of Mauro Icardi (he's scored seven of Inter's last 14 goals in Serie A) means that they remain a serious goalscoring threat, and with signs that Mancini may just be getting his message across, I favour them here.

Inter have kept clean sheets in their last two League games, and that is another reason to feel that they may just have the edge against a team which seems to be running on empty.

At the turn of the year, you'd never have believed that Roma might end up finishing fourth in Serie A, but defeat here would make that a very real possibility.

Gary Medel and Davide Astori are suspended, but Fredy Guarin and Marcelo Brozovic return for the hosts. Gervinho and Miralem Pjanic should also be back in the line-up for Roma.

Recommended Bet
Back Inter to beat Roma @ 2.466/4


Torino v Juventus
Sunday, 14:00
Live on ESPN

Juve's presence in the semi-final of the Champions League may well be a false dawn for Italian Football, but it cements them as this era's great Serie A side. With Carlos Tevez and Paul Pogba likely to leave in the summer, Juve will have to invest wisely to maintain their success, but right now they're untouchable.

They have a tough assignment this weekend, though. City rivals Torino are unbeaten in four, and have a striker in Fabio Quagliarella with point to prove against his old club. Claudio Marchisio is also suspended for the Bianconeri.

On the other hand, Juve have won their last seven against Torino, and the Granata haven't managed to beat the Old Lady since 1995. That statistic could make this a famous day, but I doubt it.

Juve showed last weekend against Lazio that they're keen to wrap up the title as quickly as they can, and with the Champions League coming into sharp focus now, that need becomes greater. Juve are priced at 2.021/1 to win this one, and that seems more than fair.

Recommended Bet
Back Juventus to beat Torino @ 2.021/1


Napoli v Sampdoria
Sunday, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 1

I'm losing a little faith in Sampdoria: on several occasions now I thought that they would rise to the occasion away from home and get us a result at a competitive price. Every time, though, they've let us down.

They're 7.413/2 to win in Naples this weekend, and that's certainly too big a price, but with Napoli eager to push Roma for third place in Serie A and finding form at just the right time, I can't see them winning at the San Paolo. Napoli are short at 1.558/15, but are justifiable favourites.

Samp will give them a game though. They have scored in five of their last six Serie A games, and with Napoli having conceded in five of THEIR last six at home, Both Teams to Score really shouldn't be as big as 1.855/6.

Samp have failed to find the net in their last six games at the San Paolo and that statistic, combined with their 0-0 draw against Cesena last week, is why BTTS is backable here. We should take advantage.

Recommended Bet
Back "Yes" in Both Teams to Score @ 1.855/6


2014-15 P/L

Staked: 84
Returned: 77.15
P/L: -6.85

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