In-play Betting Tips: First goal key at West Ham but not Inter

Roberto Mancini has made a mixed start to his second Inter stint
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Michael Lintorn has studied in-play patterns for three Sunday games, with the opening goal likely to prove more decisive at West Ham than at Inter...

"In each of Inter’s last five encounters, whichever side opened the scoring went on to concede the second goal."

West Ham v Swansea
Sunday, 13:30
Live on Sky Sports 1

Match Odds: West Ham 2.47/5, Swansea 3.39/4, The Draw 3.45

West Ham and Swansea head into this fixture just one and three points off the Champions League pace respectively and, with the two clubs currently in possession - Southampton and Man United - not in action until Monday night - victory will enable either to live that dream a little while longer.

Swansea haven't triumphed on their travels in six attempts, assuming a 1-0 lead and then losing on four of those occasions. However, that pattern is unlikely to play out at the Boleyn Ground. Excluding a 0-0 draw with Aston Villa, ten of the previous 11 Premier League games there were won by whichever team scored first, so back the deadlock-breakers to win in-play.


Barcelona v Espanyol
Sunday, 16:00
Live on Sky Sports 5

Match Odds: Barcelona 1.111/9, Espanyol 32.031/1, The Draw 13.012/1

There are several reasons to suspect that opposing Barcelona to keep a clean sheet in this Catalan derby is wise: having kept eight in a row at the start of this La Liga campaign, they have managed a mere one in five, while Espanyol have been shut out in only three of their 13 league outings.

The case for holding out until the 45-minute or hour-mark to oppose the Barcelona clean sheet rather than take the current odds of 2.3211/8 is even stronger. Though Espanyol usually net, they average marginally over a goal per game (1.08) and do most of that scoring late on. Ten of their 14 strikes have come in the final half hour, eight in the closing ten minutes and four in the 90th minute.


Inter v Udinese
Sunday, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 1

Match Odds: Inter 1.558/15, Udinese 8.07/1, The Draw 4.3100/30

A win, a draw and a defeat show that Roberto Mancini hasn't been an instant cure for Inter's long-term ills, but the 11 goals in those first three matches are evidence that he is delivering on his pledge to make the Nerazzurri more entertaining after 16 months of often-ineffective counterattacking.

In each of Inter's last five encounters, whichever side opened the scoring went on to concede the second goal, and the same trend has been prevalent in four of Udinese's past five fixtures. The way to exploit this is to back whichever club goes 0-1 down to notch next in the "Next Goal" market.

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