In-play Betting Tips: Exploit Fiorentina's favourite trick

Vincenzo Montella's Fiorentina are a threat despite a poor start
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Michael Lintorn has found in-play trends to target in the Clasico, Man United v Chelsea and AC Milan v Fiorentina...

"Two features of Fiorentina's five wins are that they have led by the 40th minute (in four) and gone on to obtain a clean sheet (in five)."


Real Madrid v Barcelona
Saturday, 17:00
Live on Sky Sports 5

Match Odds: Real Madrid 2.466/4, Barcelona 2.962/1, The Draw 3.814/5

The extraordinary Clasico statistic that you'll hear plenty about in the build-up to a game expected to feature Luis Suarez's competitive Barcelona debut is that there hasn't been a single clean sheet kept in any of their most recent 16 meetings. As a result, both teams to score is valued at the far-shorter-than-usual price of 1.434/9.

However, what you might not be aware of is that in four of the last six Clasicos, the second team didn't make it onto the scoresheet until the 68th minute or beyond, while it wasn't until the closing ten minutes that the trailing team made their mark in three of those. That indicates that the patient in-play punter should be able to snare bigger odds on the Clasico's most reliable bet.


Man United v Chelsea
Sunday, 16:00
Live on Sky Sports 1

Match Odds: Man United 3.052/1, Chelsea 2.56/4, The Draw 3.55

The majority of Man United v Chelsea statistics and even the odds point to an away victory at 2.56/4, as the Blues excelled against top-eight rivals last season (P14 W10 D3 L1) and the Red Devils have a terrible recent record at home to top-three sides (P6 W0 D1 L5).

There are a few signs that the Man United triumph at 3.052/1 will provide a Cash Out window though. They have won three successive matches at Old Trafford heading into this one, assuming the lead within 27 minutes of kick-off. Chelsea are without a clean sheet in five Premier League road trips, conceding in the first quarter of an hour in two of those.


AC Milan v Fiorentina
Sunday, 20:00
Live on BT Sport 1

Match Odds: AC Milan 2.111/10, Fiorentina 4.03/1, The Draw 3.55

Fiorentina have a made a disappointing start to the latest Serie A campaign, winning just two of their opening seven games, but one thing is certain: they can't blame their cumbersome getaway on the distraction of the Europa League as their two league victories followed the first two Euro fixtures.

Two features of their five wins across all competitions to date this term are that they have led by the 40th minute (in four out of five) and gone on to obtain a clean sheet (in five out of five). Therefore, if they claim a first-half lead at San Siro - where they have beaten AC Milan on three straight visits - back them to prevail to nil in-play.


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