Italian Serie A

Bad Man Betting's Napoli v Inter Milan Tips: Back 6/1 Bet Builder in huge Serie A clash

Simone Inzaghi Inter Milan manager
Inzaghi has steered Inter to their first UCL final since 2010

@BadManBetting returns with a Bet Builder preview of Sunday's huge Serie A match, with Champions League finalists Inter Milan looking to cement their top four credentials at league winners Napoli...

  • Count on Martinez to shine in game Inter don't lose

  • Oliveira and Calhanoglu backed to commit fouls

  • Bad Man Betting put up a 6/1 Bet Builder


The bumper clash on Sunday in Italy sees the Serie A champions take on the Champions League finalists as Napoli host Inter in a game that deserves to garner plenty of attention.

Napoli may have already won the title, but they're a joy to watch regardless, and possess a squad littered with quality players.

As for Inter, this game is huge. Simone Inzaghi's side sit five points clear of fifth place, and you can be sure that they'll be looking to wrap up Champions League qualification as soon as possible to give their stars a well earned rest prior to their showdown with Man City.

With all that in mind, I think this could well be a cracking game for a Bet Builder.

Leg 1: Lautaro Martinez to score or assist

Lautaro Martinez has so often been the go to man for Inter this season, and the stats show it.

His 20 goals across the Serie A campaign can only be bettered by Victor Osimhen's 23, and he even has five assists to his name as well.

A further three goals and three assists in the Champions League evidences the threat that Martinez carries.

Edin Dzeko and Romelu Lukaku provide the perfect foil for the Argentinian, and in a game that I expect Inter to seriously go for, Martinez could well be the man to make the difference.

Napoli haven't quite been their usual selves since winning the title, conceding three goals in their last two.

With Martinez having scored or assisted a goal in each of his last five Serie A outings, the Inter frontman is displaying some scintillating form, the kind that could well take advantage of the lapses in the Napoli backline.

Leg 2: Inter Milan to win or draw

Napoli may have already won the Serie A title, but make no mistake, they are not displaying the form that saw them romp to the top of the table.

One loss in their opening 24 games is remarkable, with that one loss coming against Inter themselves. Since then, they've won just five of their last 11.

If Inter were capable of beating them at their very best, then I fully believe that Inzaghi's band of talented individuals can do the job once more against a side that have essentially already wrapped up their season.

I've yet to even mention Inter's current form that's seen them storm their way to the Champions League final.

They've won each of their last eight, scoring 22, and conceding just three in the process.

We only need a draw for Inter here, and I think they've hit a serious patch of form at just the right time to take the points from Napoli on Sunday.

Leg 3: Mathias Oliveira 1+ fouls

Napoli have struggled to recapture their early season form, and I expect Inter to take advantage of that. I believe Oliveira is one who could struggle as a result.

Inter are going to throw everything that they have at this game, and Denzel Dumfries provides one of their best attacking outlets down the right hand side.

The Dutch machine will motor down the touchline, and draws the second highest number of fouls in the Inter squad at 1.60 per 90. He's drawn at least one foul in each of his last eight.

As for Oliveira, that pressure should tell. He committed one foul in the reverse fixture, and has fallen afoul of the referee at least once in nine of his last 10. 1.29 fouls per 90 won't help matters, and I expect the Napoli man to suffer come Sunday evening.

Leg 4: Hakan Calhanoglu 2+ fouls

At a first glance, a midfield trio of Barella, Mkhitaryan, and Calhanoglu may lack some balance. But, in a slightly deeper and more reserved role, Calhanoglu has found a home.

It's a side that somewhat lacks that natural midfield enforcer, and whilst often deemed a playmaker, the Turkish international has taken it upon himself to break up the play.

He's averaging 1.70 fouls per 90 in Serie A, and has committed at least one foul in six of his last seven games in all competitions.

The real kicker here is that he's committed at least two in five of those games.

He'll face a stern test as well. Just because Napoli have already won the title, doesn't mean their midfield isn't capable of drawing fouls.

Lobotka, Anguissa, and Zielinski draw 1.71, 1.35, and 1.40 fouls per 90 respectively, and forced Fiorentina's midfield into a staggering seven fouls combined just two weeks ago.

Calhanoglu committed two fouls against Napoli back in January, and with so much on the line, I expect him to do so again.

Back Martinez to score or assist, Inter to win or draw, Oliveira 1+ foul and Calhanoglu 2+ fouls in a Bet Builder @ 6/17.00

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