Brighton v Man City
Live on BT Sport 1
What I like about Brighton is the fact they have been quietly building over a period of years now and, after a few near misses in the playoffs, they finally made it last season.
The Seagulls have got a fantastic stadium, and great fan engagement; there is a real connection there with the supporters after what they have been through in recent times.
And it is the home form that will be absolutely key for Chris Hughton's men this season as, for newly promoted teams, away games are always tough.
The most important thing for Brighton is to have an identity in the way they play. They have spent a decent amount of money this summer, some Premier League experience with the likes of Glenn Murray and Steve Sidwell and then real quality in the shape of Anthony Knockaert. He had a fantastic season, winning Championship player of the year, but the question will be whether he can produce every week.
There will be no huge expectation for Brighton this season but they've got the support and the right environment to succeed and I think they have a really good chance of staying up.
Brighton won't have many harder tasks than Man City this season, but it's a good time to be playing Pep Guardiola's men as there are a few things in play in the opening game. Firstly - pre-season games don't have quite the same feel as the real thing, so you never really know how you'll be feeling physically in the first competitive match. And secondly, the home fans will be going crazy at their first taste of the Premier League.
As discussed in my season preview, City's revamped backline will need time to gel, so I can definitely see Brighton scoring.
Both Teams to Score is a decent price at evens but I do expect the visitors to have too much firepower in the end, so doubling that up with the away win at 15/8 looks like the best approach.
Back Man City and Both Teams to Score at 15/8
Graeme's Weekend Wagers
Chelsea, Everton and Manchester United at 11/4
Best long-odds bet:
Newcastle to beat Tottenham at [5.6]