Weekend Football Tips: Hannover to cap Bayern Munich scoring

Bayern Munich have won 13 straight Bundesliga encounters
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This weekend's in-play column pinpoints ways to make money from Spain, Germany and Italy's league leaders...

"Hannover boast one of the Bundesliga’s five fiercest home records, despite a lowly league station of 11th."

Saturday 19:00, Real Sociedad v Barcelona, Sky Sports 3

Though this is a meeting between two top-six teams, and Sociedad have lost one home league game all season, 92% of the win market wonga is being staked on Barcelona, who are [1.41] favourites. Even if you share the assertion that the champions, who haven't beaten a side higher than eighth away, will prevail, this isn't the optimum time to punt on them. They have conceded first in four of their last five league road fixtures, while Sociedad have struck first in six of their last seven as hosts. Both exceptions were goalless draws. Therefore, there is a case for laying Barca with a view to a mid-match trade, or - if you can only see a Catalan win - holding out in the hope that they fall behind and then backing at bulkier odds.

Sunday 16:30, Hannover v Bayern Munich, ESPN

Ten successive victories in all competitions ensure that Bayern Munich are rated [1.26] near certs to triumph, but this should prove one of their trickier away league tests. For the fourth season in a row, Hannover boast one of the Bundesliga's five fiercest home records, despite a lowly league station of 11th, and in two of the prior three, Bayern were bamboozled by their success as hosts and forced to endure defeat. It is difficult to envisage Pep Guardiola's men losing at present, yet they can be limited, scoring two or less in their last three league trips, with just three first-half goals across those encounters. A lay-to-back attack on the plump [2.92] over 2.5 goals price may consequently reward.

Sunday 17:30, Juventus v Torino, BT Sport 1

Whereas Barcelona and Bayern should find things tougher than their slim win odds imply, Juventus fully deserve their [1.31] favouritism against neighbours Torino, having not conceded a goal in the last nine Derby della Mole instalments. Five wins to nil in eight at the Juventus Stadium recently embellish the argument for that outcome at [2.12]. The one positive that Torino can pluck from their biannual ordeal is that their neighbours are often willing to settle, scoring more than once in only two of the last seven editions of the grudge match, both times on occasions that the Granata had a man sent off. That trend hints at money to be made laying Juve with a handicap if they net early.

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