Bundesliga Betting: BVB to get a case of the Royal Blues

Schalke and Borussia Dortmund clash in the Revierderby
The Revierderby is always a hotly-contested affair

One of the biggest games of the German season takes place this weekend, and Kevin Hatchard features the Revierderby as one of his four selections.

"Dortmund have only won one of their last seven clashes with Schalke, and they have been well below their best in recent games."

Back Home and Draw in the Double Chance market in Schalke v Borussia Dortmund at 1.84/5

Wagner to avoid defeat in first Revierderby

Schalke v Borussia Dortmund
Saturday 26 October, 14:30
Live on Betfair Live Video

When David Wagner was pondering whether to take up the role of Schalke coach, his best friend Jurgen Klopp advised him to go for it, with just one caveat. Don't. Beat. Dortmund. While it was obviously a comment made in jest, both men will know there was an underlying element of truth. As a Dortmund man, Klopp wouldn't want Schalke to win a throw-in against BVB, let alone a Revierderby.

Wagner has operated on both sides of the Ruhr divide, having been part of the famed "Eurofighter" squad that won the UEFA Cup for Schalke in 1997 (he was an unused substitute in the second leg of the final) and having been in charge of Borussia Dortmund's reserve team. If there was any disquiet from Royal Blues fans about Wagner's dalliance in Dortmund, results will have wiped those concerns away.

Schalke have collected 14 points from eight league games (they only claimed 33 in the whole of last season) and they have scored 14 goals (they only managed 31 goals last term.) Attacking midfielder Amine Harit has gotten his act together on and off the field, and was named as September's Player of the Month in the Bundesliga. The defence has looked solid, goalkeeper Alexander Nubel has responded well to the responsibility of the captain's armband, and midfielders like Suat Serdar and Weston McKennie have blossomed under Wagner. The problem is in attack - Guido Burgstaller has started every game, and is yet to score in the league. None of the club's recognised forwards have scored more than once.

Borussia Dortmund got their push for the Meisterschale back on track with last weekend's 1-0 win against Borussia Monchengladbach, but they remain unconvincing. They have only won one of their last four league games, and they lost 2-0 at Inter Milan in the Champions League thanks to a limp display. For the first time since he took the reins at the start of last season, coach Lucien Favre is being seriously questioned. An unfamiliar 5-2-3 formation failed on Wednesday, and after the addition of expensive talents like Mats Hummels, Thorgan Hazard and Julian Brandt, there is now serious pressure to deliver.

Dortmund have only won one of their last five away games, and I can't help feeling they are too short for the win at 2.186/5. BVB lost at home to Schalke in the clubs' last meeting, and they have only won one of the last seven Reveriderby clashes.

I'll back Home and Draw in the Double Chance market at 1.84/5.

Fortuna to push Paderborn further into the mire

Paderborn v Fortuna Dusseldorf
Saturday 26 October, 14:30
Live on Betfair Live Video

It seems jarring in modern football for a club to accept that it isn't good enough for a certain level, and even more unusual for that club to not throw money at the problem. Paderborn are aiming to establish themselves in German football's "Top 30," and if that means tumbling out of the Bundesliga this season, so be it. SCP have a playing budget of just 11 million euros, and spent a tiny amount on transfers in the summer.

This is all very laudable, but the reality is that Steffen Baumgart's team is well short of the standard required in the top division. They have claimed a solitary point from their eight matches, and have leaked a league-high 22 goals.

Fortuna picked up a hugely important 1-0 win against Mainz last weekend, and that has given them breathing space after a disappointing run of results. F95 have been hugely unlucky with injuries this season, and they feel that they haven't had the results their performances have warranted.

This bet is more about Paderborn being bad than Fortuna being good. SCP have lost all of their home games, and I can't resist backing Fortuna Draw No Bet here at 2.26/5.

Frustrated Bayern to take it out on Union

Bayern Munich v Union Berlin
Saturday 26 October, 14:30
Live on Betfair Live Video

It's been a curious season for Bayern Munich. The record champions have produced some great football (they won 7-2 at Spurs in the Champions League, and were excellent in the first half of a 1-1 draw at title rivals RB Leipzig) but have also flattered to deceive on a number of occasions. They have gone two games without a Bundesliga win for the first time since November last year, having lost at home to Hoffenheim and then drawn 2-2 at Bavarian neighbours Augsburg. That draw was particularly sloppy, as they conceded in the first minute and in stoppage time at the end of the contest, something keeper Manuel Neuer described as "not very Bayern-like."

To make matters worse, Bayern have seen centre-backs Niklas Sule and Lucas Hernandez pick up injuries, with the former probably out for the season with knee ligament damage. At least Robert Lewandowski is catching the eye at the other end - the Polish predator has scored 21 goals for club and country this season already.

Despite their problems, Bayern should comfortably beat an Union Berlin side that did well to beat Freiburg last weekend, but that has struggled on the road. Urs Fischer's newly-promoted side have picked up just one point from their three away games, and they have only scored once.

Bayern have won by three goals or more five times this season in all competitions, and I'll back them to make it six.

Wolves to tear chunks out of hapless visitors

Wolfsburg v Augsburg
Sunday 27 October, 14:30
Live on Betfair Live Video and BT Sport

It's been an extraordinary season so far for Wolfsburg. They are yet to lose a single competitive game under new coach Oliver Glasner, and they are making good progress in the Europa League. They were excellent in last weekend's 1-1 draw at RB Leipzig, deserving to win against one of the league's best sides.

Wolfsburg beat Augsburg 8-1 on the final day of last season, and they'll feel they can pick up a big win against the Swabians this weekend. Although FCA deserve credit for their 2-2 draw against Bayern last week, the bare truth is that Bayern had enough chances to hammer them, but Tomas Koubek produced a heroic goalkeeping performance.

Augsburg have lost 5-1 at both Borussia Dortmund and Borussia Monchengladbach this season, and they have lost five of their last six competitive away games. I'll back Wolfsburg here on the Asian Handicap.

2019-2020 Bundesliga P/L

Points Staked: 26
Points Returned: 26.5
P/L: +0.5 points

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