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European Football Tips: Streaking Monaco can topple Strasbourg

No recent league losses for The Red and White
Strasbourg may see a lot of Monaco celebrations Friday

Every weekend Walter Toner scours the major football leagues looking for value bets using his Performance Index algorithm. Here is his compilation of this weekend's most compelling value wagers...

This week's Best Bet: Back Monaco to win above fair value 1.3 (currently available at 1.7)

France Ligue-1
Strasbourg v Monaco
Friday, March 09, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home [4.6] Draw [3.85] Away [1.65]
Fair Value Odds - Home [11.0] Draw [7.2] Away [1.3]

Recommended Bet: Back Monaco above fair value


Netherlands Eredivisie
Heracles v Twente
Friday, March 09, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home [2.34] Draw [3.5] Away [2.7]
Fair Value Odds - Home [2] Draw [3.95] Away [4.1]

Recommended Bet: Back Heracles above fair value


Germany Bundesliga
Hertha Berlin v Sc Freiburg
Saturday, March 10, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home [2.06] Draw [3.15] Away [3.65]
Fair Value Odds - Home [1.82] Draw [3.75] Away [5.5]

Recommended Bet: Back Hertha Berlin above fair value


Germany 2-Bundesliga
Darmstadt v Ingolstadt
Saturday, March 10, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home [3.25] Draw [3.2] Away [2.14]
Fair Value Odds - Home [2.8] Draw [3.4] Away [2.88]

Recommended Bet: Back Darmstadt above fair value


England Premier-League
Everton v Brighton
Saturday, March 10, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home [2.14] Draw [3.1] Away [3.45]
Fair Value Odds - Home [1.8] Draw [3.9] Away [5.4]

Recommended Bet: Back Everton above fair value


France Ligue-1
Lille v Montpellier
Saturday, March 10, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home [2.86] Draw [2.9] Away [2.6]
Fair Value Odds - Home [2.6] Draw [3.1] Away [3.4]

Recommended Bet: Back Lille above fair value


Netherlands Eredivisie
Roda v Sparta Rotterdam
Saturday, March 10, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home [2.84] Draw [3.3] Away [2.34]
Fair Value Odds - Home [2.44] Draw [3.55] Away [3.3]

Recommended Bet: Back Roda above fair value


Germany Bundesliga
Dortmund v Eintracht Frankfurt
Sunday, March 11, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home [1.65] Draw [3.75] Away [4.6]
Fair Value Odds - Home [1.48] Draw [5.0] Away [7.8]

Recommended Bet: Back Dortmund above fair value

Follow Walter and the Performance Index for later games and other selections on Twitter - @PerfIndex


Cumulative P/L (1 pt each bet)

Cumulative P/L (1 pt each bet)
Wagered: 346 pts
Returned: 370.1 pts
Profit: 24.1 pts or 107% ROIC

Current (2017-2018) P/L (1 pt each bet)

Wagered: 157 pts
Returned: 151.4 pts
Profit: (6.6) pts or 96% ROI

Walter Toner,

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