Bundesliga Correct Score Predictor with Infogol: Tips for every fixture of GW29

Tom Victor
15 April 2021
3:30 min read

Lars Stindl's hat-trick denied Frankfurt victory when they hosted Gladbach in December

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Using Expected Goals (xG) data from Infogol, Tom Victor provides Bundesliga result and scoreline predictions as Adi Hütter goes up against his next club...

Adi Hütter will be in charge at Borussia-Park next season, with a deal in place for the Austrian to replace Dortmund-bound Marco Rose, and it just so happens that his Frankfurt side travel to Mönchengladbach this weekend.

Leipzig to strengthen hold on second place

RB Leipzig v Hoffenheim
Friday, 19:30
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Last weekend's results gave RB Leipzig a six point cushion over third place with six games of the season remaining, so three home wins from three could end up being enough to seal a top-two finish. Julian Nagelsmann's side are averaging 0.89 xGA per game at Red Bull Arena - still the league's best - and last week's four-goal haul in Bremen will give them confidence to get the better of Hoffenheim.

Back the 2-1 @ 8.6015/2

Augsburg to keep Arminia in trouble

Augsburg v Arminia Bielefeld
Saturday, 14:30
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Augsburg can push closer to guaranteed safety with victory in arguably their most inviting remaining game, despite still holding one of the Bundesliga's worst xGF records. Jeffrey Gouweleeuw's late winner was the only goal when these sides met in Bielefeld, and Infogol anticipates another low-scoring clash going the way of Heiko Herrlich's men.

Back the 2-0 @ 12.50

Freiburg to all but confirm Schalke's relegation

Freiburg v Schalke
Saturday, 14:30
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Schalke managed to stave off looming relegation with a win last week, but defeat on Saturday could see their drop to 2. Bundesliga confirmed if other results also go against them. Dimitrios Grammozis has inherited a team with a league-worst away xGF return of 0.83, and there's little suggestion they'll add to the nine actual goals they've notched in 13 road games this term.

Back the 2-0 @ 9.008/1

Hütter's Frankfurt to fall to his future employers

Borussia Mönchengladbach v Eintracht Frankfurt
Saturday, 14:30
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Adi Hütter will be in charge at Borussia-Park next season, with a deal in place for the Austrian to replace Dortmund-bound Marco Rose, and it just so happens that his Frankfurt side travel to Mönchengladbach this weekend. The hosts are almost certain to finish the season below Gladbach, but Infogol's model suggests we'll see a home win to leave Eintracht with some work to do to clinch a top four finish.

Back the 2-1 @ 9.809/1

Union to keep selves in European contention

Union Berlin v Stuttgart
Saturday, 14:30
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Just a single point separates Union and Stuttgart, and Urs Fischer's hosts will be keen to take the points after two late goals denied them victory in the reverse fixture. The home side aren't out of the running for fifth place, and Infogol believes their solid home defence - which has ensured they've lost just once this season at Stadion An der Alten Forrsterei - can see them through.

Back the 2-0 @ 12.0011/1

Bayern to resume title push after European exit

Wolfsburg v Bayern Munich
Saturday, 14:30
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A win in Paris wasn't enough to salvage Bayern's run at a Champions League defence, but the 1-0 victory did at least demonstrate an ability to give tough opponents a run for their money even without some key men. Wolfsburg will go into the game with hope, given their unbeaten home record, but Infogol's model is siding with the reigning champions in this one.

Back the 1-2 @ 8.808/1

Leverkusen to further condemn manageress Köln

Bayer Leverkusen v Köln
Saturday, 17:30
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Last week's defeat to Mainz went against the xG pattern of the game, but Markus Gisdol will take no solace from that after the result saw him dismissed as Köln manager. Friedhelm Funkel will be in temporary charge as the relegation battlers visit the BayArena, and the home side are expected to complete a league double after putting four past goalkeeper Timo Horn back in December.

Back the 2-1 @ 8.808/1

Dortmund to cling to top four hopes

Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen
Sunday, 14:30
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With a seven point gap to the top four, Borussia Dortmund's league fate is out of their hands. All they can do is win their remaining games, and the visit of shot-shy Werder Bremen to Signal Iduna Park is the first test. The visitors are averaging 0.95 xGF this season, and Infogol does not expect them to cause their opponents too many problems.

Back the 3-0 @ 10.5019/2

Mainz to get the better of another relegation rival

Mainz v Hertha Berlin
Sunday, 17:00
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Sunday's game at Opel Arena is a big one, with Mainz chasing a win which could lift them five points clear of the relegation play-off spot and move them one step closer to safety. A lot has changed since these clubs played out a goalless draw at the Olympiastadion, and an average of 1.75 xGF across the last six games will give Bo Svensson's side the belief they can clinch a vital home victory.

Back the 2-1 @ 9.809/1

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