German Bundesliga

Bet Builder Tips: Back Bad Man Betting's 5/1 Bayern Munich v Borussia Dortmund best bet

Bayern Munich manaher Thomas Tuchel
Tuchel welcomes former club Dortmund to Munich

Bad Man Betting are back with their Bet Builder of the week, and where better to go than the German Bundesliga as Dortmund travel to former manager Thomas Tuchel#s Bayern Munich, picking out a 5/16.00 tip..

The Bundesliga title may be out of Bayern's reach for the first time since 2012, but that doesn't take away from this weekend's clash against Dortmund.

Games between the pair are almost always a feisty affair, and that should be no different on Saturday evening. It's not as if the sides have nothing to play for as well.

Bayern will harbour hopes of a Leverkusen implosion, whilst Dortmund are currently clinging onto a Champions League spot by a single point.

Not to mention, Dortmund will be desperate for some sort of revenge. Not only did Thomas Tuchel's side snatch the Bundesliga title from them on the final day of the 2022/23 season, but they suffered a heavy 4-0 loss to Bayern in November as well.

This is always an entertaining clash, and it's a must for a Bet Builder.

Leg #1 - Jamal Musiala to score or assist

Of course, both sides will create chances here, and in Bayern's case, Harry Kane is likely to be the main man if he's able to make the 11. But if he isn't available, then Jamal Musiala is the difference maker for me.

Even with Kane in the side, the German youngster has still scored 10 Bundesliga goals, with only Kane scoring more. Five assists isn't too shabby either.

But, what really stands out here is Musiala's recent form. He has a goal contribution in each of his last five Bundesliga games, with three goals and three assists in his last two alone.

A pair of assists in Germany's recent international friendlies only strengthens his case here, and Dortmund's defence should afford him the space to work.

The 4-0 loss to Bayern earlier this season still lives long in the memory, and Dortmund haven't kept a clean sheet against Bayern in their last 11 meetings. They have just one clean sheet to their name in their last five league outings as well, and I think Musiala can take full advantage of his opponents come Saturday.

Leg #2 - Both Teams to Score

It's very rarely a quiet game when these two take the pitch against each other, and with recent results in mind, I don't expect this game to be any different.

Both teams to score has landed in eight of the last nine meetings between these two, and yes, Dortmund failed to score against Bayern in November, but the hosts aren't exactly defensively sound at this moment.

Bayern haven't kept a clean sheet in their last eight games, including against the likes of Mainz, Bochum, and Darmstadt, all sides threatened with the possibility of relegation.

It comes as no surprise then, that this selection has landed 58% of their games this season, and in seven of their last eight.

Dortmund carry a much more tangible threat than some of Bayern's recent opponents. Both teams to score has landed in 65% of their games this campaign, and they've only failed to score twice this season.

There should be no concern over Bayern getting a goal at home, and I expect this selection to fly in.

Leg #3 - Donyell Malen 1+ Shots on Target

To put it simply, there's not a great deal of value in the Bayern players for shots on target, but Donyell Malen's numbers make him too difficult to ignore here for Dortmund.

The Dortmund forward is averaging 1.74 shots on target per 90, and that's a staggering stat regardless of who you play for. He's hit the target in each of his last six for his club, and no other player in the Dortmund side comes close to his output.

In fact, Harry Kane is the only player amongst the two squads that can come close to matching Malen in that regard, which highlights just how many chances fall to the feet of the Dutch forward.

Bayern may only be conceding 3.04 shots on target per game, but recent results against much weaker opposition would suggest that Malen will find a chance or two to let fly here.

Leg #4 - Laimer 2+ fouls

There's no doubt that people will be looking towards Dortmund for fouls on Saturday, but it's safe to say their 9.54 fouls per game as a team isn't exactly appealing.

Bayern don't necessarily commit more, but for the price, Konrad Laimer is a player worth keeping an eye on.

The Austrian averages 1.63 fouls per 90, which shouldn't come as a shock if you watch him. He's aggressive, tenacious, and he hunts the ball down across the pitch, putting himself in awkward positions.

He's committed two or more fouls in eight of his 14 Bundesliga starts, and he'll be right in the thick of it on Saturday. The Dortmund midfield draw fouls aplenty as well, with the likes of Brandt, Can, and Ozcan combining for 3.73 fouls drawn per 90.

In what could well be a game of fine margins, Laimer fouls look a strong shout.

Back the four legs into one Bet Builder here @ 5/16.00

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