The top two go head-to-head in France this weekend and PSG are the smart bet to depose outgoing champions Monaco, writes James Eastham...
"Troyes have lost five of five fixtures vs the top four this season. Marseille go into the game on a high after their 5-2 Europa League win over Red Bull Leipzig."
Lyon set to hold on to 3rd place
Lyon v Amiens (3rd v 13th)
Sat, 16:00 BST
Live on Betfair Live Video
Lyon go into the weekend in tremendous form and should be too strong for bottom-half Amiens on Saturday afternoon.
Lyon's 5-0 win at bottom club Metz last weekend was their fourth consecutive victory and saw them leapfrog Marseille into the third and final Champions League place.
Lyon are ahead of Marseille only on goal difference, meaning the hosts will be fully motivated this weekend and keen to avoid slip-ups in front of their own fans.
The return from injury of the inspirational Nabil Fekir to improve an attack that scored five times without him last weekend is a daunting prospect for Amiens.
Christophe Pelissier's side have done well to move away from the relegation positions over the past month but have easier fixtures to secure Ligue 1 safety in the coming weeks.
Amiens won't simply roll over and die but it would be no surprise if Lyon turn out to be a couple of goals better than the visitors.
Marseille ready to build on European success
Troyes v Marseille (18th v 4th)
Sun, 16:00 BST
Live on BT Sport ESPN and Betfair Live Video
The difference in class between these two sides has been so apparent in recent weeks anything other than an away win would be a major surprise.
Troyes have lost five of their last six games (their sole point coming against bottom-half Amiens) and lost 10 of their last 14 fixtures (W2-D2-L10). Their only two wins during that dismal run of form came against the only two sides currently below them in the table, Lille and Metz.
Troyes have also lost five out of five games against the top four this season (PSG, Monaco, Lyon, Marseille), resulting in a -12 goal difference across those five fixtures.
Marseille's 0-0 home draw against Montpellier last weekend saw them slip out of the top three for the first time since mid-January. They're determined to claim a Champions League spot so will be fired-up to ensure they make no mistakes this weekend.
Marseille will also be on a high after their 5-2 Europa League win over Red Bull Leipzig on Thursday night. They produced a fantastic performance to claim their place in the semi-finals in front of the Stade Velodrome's biggest-ever crowd for a European fixture.
Marseille's away record points strongly to an away win: l'OM are an excellent W9-D4-L0 on the road against non-top four sides.
The visitors are [1.6] to collect all three points so we prefer them at bigger odds on the Asian Handicap.
For a guide to Asian Handicap betting, click here.
PSG the bet to claim title in style
Paris-SG v Monaco (1st v 2nd)
Sun, 20:00 BST
Live on BT Sport 3 and Betfair Live Video
The top two go head-to-head in Sunday night's televised clash with the Ligue 1 title on the line.
If PSG win they'll be crowned Ligue 1 champions with five matchdays to go. If defending champions Monaco win or draw they'll delay the inevitable by one more week at least.
It's likely to be a tough night for Monaco, however, as all evidence points towards a PSG victory.
The teams have met three times this season, with PSG winning each time. They dominated the first league meeting between the sides at Stade Louis II last November and should have won by a much bigger scoreline than 2-1.
PSG also won 2-1 in the Champions Trophy curtain-raiser on foreign soil in Tangiers last August. They then blew away Monaco 3-0 in the League Cup final a fortnight ago.
A repeat of the League Cup final scoreline would be no surprise. PSG will be determined to claim the Ligue 1 title in fine style, deposing Monaco at the same time.
The question is how to make PSG pay. The hosts are as short as [1.3] to win on the night.
'Yes' in the PSG Win to Nil market is worth considering at [2.4] as PSG have won nine of their 16 home games to nil.
Statistically speaking, however, PSG/PSG in the Half time/Full time market and PSG -1.5&-2.0 Asian Handicap are better bets. PSG/PSG has paid out in 14 of their 16 home matches, and PSG have won 15 of their 16 home matches by two or more goals.
James' 2017-18 P/L
Lyon -1.5&-2.0 Asian Handicap v Amiens @ [1.9]
Marseille -0.5&-1.0 Asian Handicap at Troyes @ [1.85]
Paris-SG/Paris-SG Full time/Half time v Monaco @ [1.85]