Visitors' attack too good for Nantes
Nantes vs Monaco (2nd vs 14th)
Fri, 19:45 BST
Live on BT Sport 3 and Betfair Live Video
Monaco's outstanding attacking duo Wissam Ben Yedder and Islam Slimani are the main reason to support the Principality outfit as they travel to Stade de la Beaujoire to face Nantes on Friday night.
France international Ben Yedder is Ligue 1's eight-goal top scorer after finding the net once every 71 minutes since his £36 million move from Sevilla in August. Alongside him, Slimani is proving the perfect foil: the Algeria international has five goals and a remarkable seven assists in just seven starts in Monaco colours.
Monaco have Ligue 1's worst defensive record but the presence of the outstanding pair up front means they're picking up points and moving away from the foot of the table. Last weekend's 3-2 home win over Rennes was a case in point: Monaco made some horrible defensive errors but Ben Yedder was there to slam home an injury-time winner.
Nantes may sit second in the table but are a far less flamboyant side than Monaco: in 10 matches Nantes have scored just nine times, and they've yet to win by more than a single goal this season. Their lofty league position is down to excellent defensive organisation but their goalkeeper and back four will struggle to shut out Monaco's in-form front duo. For that reason, Monaco are a sound choice on the Draw No Bet market.
Hosts' chances overrated
Strasbourg vs Nice (20th vs 11th)
Sat, 19:00 BST
Live on Betfair Live Video
Strasbourg slumped to the foot of the table following their 2-0 defeat at Marseille last weekend and it's surprising to find they're clear favourites to beat Nice on Saturday given how consistently unimpressive the Alsatians' performances have been this season.
Strasbourg are W2-D3-L5 from 10 games, and have failed to score in six of their last eight games in all competitions. The entire club appears to be suffering a hangover after being giddy on the success of winning the French League Cup last season. The fact that 2019-20 began for them as early as July 25 with a Europa League qualifying game doesn't help matters: this will already be the 17th game of their season, and the players look jaded.
Nice are a work in progress after the late-August transfer window activity that saw them transform their squad after the club was bought by Ineos, owned by Jim Ratcliffe, reportedly Britain's richest man. Their W2-D1-L4 record since the takeover was completed is not exactly what the new owners were hoping for, but Nice have the squad to improve in the coming months.
Neither side particularly appeals but the price of 2.0621/20 on a Strasbourg victory is too short to be overlooked. Little about Strasbourg's form suggests they should be such strong favourites against visitors that sit four points and nine places above them in the standings. Laying the hosts is the selection.
Mbappe to lead PSG rout
PSG vs Marseille (1st vs 4th)
Sun, 20:00 GMT
Live on BT Sport 1 and Betfair Live Video
Kylian Mbappe has sent out two warning messages to Marseille about the sort of treatment they might receive at Parc des Princes on Sunday night and anything other than an emphatic win for the Ligue 1 champions would be a surprise now that the France international striker has returned to the fray.
Mbappe came off the bench in the 83rd minute against Nice last weekend yet still had enough time to score one goal and set-up another, turning a 2-1 PSG lead into a 4-1 victory in the final 10 minutes. He then came on as a substitute against Club Brugge in the Champions League on Tuesday night, scoring a hat-trick in the space of 22 minutes, his first-ever triple in that particular competition.
Mbappe looks set to make his first Ligue 1 start since August 25 this weekend and Marseille are likely to suffer as a result of his presence on the pitch. The visitors occupy a solid fourth place in the Ligue 1 standings but they are far weaker than PSG all over the pitch and stand very little chance of coming away from the French capital with any points.
For the visitors, Dimitri Payet returns after a four-game suspension but it remains to be seen how effective he will be after such a long spell on the sidelines. Fellow winger Florian Thauvin is sidelined by injury, and a defence that has conceded in six of 10 games this season is bounce to wobble faced with not only Mbappe but also Mauro Icardi and Edinson Cavani.
PSG are 1.251/4 to win. Instead, back the hosts -1.5&-2.0 on the Asian Handicap market. With this selection, you'll make a profit as long as PSG win by two or more goals.