Against All Odds: Volkswagen Arena to emit more goals than expected

The wolves will be circling if LVG can't mastermind the result he needs
The wolves will be circling if LVG can't mastermind the result he needs

There's a huge Champions League match in Germany this evening and Paul Robinson thinks that the goals will flow when Man United take on Wolfsburg.

"It’s also worth noting that for all the talk of United being a boring team who are involved in plenty of low-scoring affairs, most of those have come at Old Trafford."

Lay Under 2.5 goals in Wolfsburg v Man United @ 1.855/6

Wolfsburg v Man United
Tuesday December 8, 19:45 GMT
Live on BT Sport Extra

This may not seem like an obvious selection given the teams involved but the circumstances of the match point towards goals.

Man United are probably going to need to win to progress to the last 16, and even if they don't, they won't know that initially and will have to set out with plenty of attacking intent.

The hosts don't have to win, in fact a draw would secure their passage through to the knockout phase, however if PSV beat CSKA by two goals, the Germans would need to win to finish top of the group - something which would be a huge advantage.

It's also worth noting that for all the talk of United being a boring team who are involved in plenty of low-scoring affairs, most of those have come at Old Trafford. Away from home, seven of their last 11 in all competitions have seen under 2.5 layers paid out, and that includes their trip to PSV in the Champions League.

Add in the fact that Dieter Hecking's side have had five of their last half dozen at the Volkswagen Arena finish with three goals or more, and we have plenty of ingredients for a high-scoring game.

Assuming PSV beat CSKA, this could be end to end stuff once the first goal goes in, so with under 2.5 trading at around the 1.855/6 mark, I have to make it my lay of the day.

Recommended Bet
Lay Under 2.5 goals in Wolfsburg v Man United @ 1.855/6

2015/16 P/L (1pt each bet)

Wagered: 109 pts
Returned: 100.67 pts
P/L: -8.33 pts

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