Wednesday Championship Tips: Baggies could only have themselves to blame
Can the Swans beat the managerless Baggies in Wednesday evening Championship action? James Buttler takes a punter's look and finds the best betting value...
"West Brom are now, in reality, battling to maintain a play-off push. They need to rediscover their winning touch at the Hawthorns where they are winless in their last six games in all competitions."
Swans can add to West Brom's woes
West Brom [1.96] v Swansea [4.2]; The Draw [3.7]
Who would be a football manager? Darren Moore, who nearly performed the impossible of keeping West Brom in the Premier League lasy season, was sacked at the weekend. Moore, who had his side in fourth place in the Championship, paid the price for a 1-1 draw against bottom club Ipswich.
The Baggies are now nine points off Leeds in second place and it was the 4-0 defeat at Elland Road two matches ago that probably did for Moore. That came off the back of a home loss to fellow promotion chasers Sheffield United and West Brom have only taken one point from the last nine available. West Brom are now, in reality, battling to maintain a play-off push. They need to rediscover their winning touch at the Hawthorns where they are winless in their last six games in all competitions.
Swansea lost to Norwich at Carrow Road on Friday evening, their fourth away defeat on the bounce. The play-offs, eight points away, look a distant dream that will have to be put on ice until next season. And the Swans could be without leading scorer Oli McBurnie who missed the defeat against the Cabnaries. McBurnie has scored 16 goals this season and is a big miss. Swansea have won 41% of their league games in which the striker has started this season (12/29), compared to just 17% when he hasn't (1/6). Courtney Baker-Richardson could continue, but McBurnie's likely non-appearance adds value to other Swans scorers like Matt Phillips.
With West Brom rudderless and leaking goals at home they could only have themselves to blame for their disloyalty to Moore. over 2.5 match goals in the game and one of them to be scored by Swansea's Matt Phillips at 4.92.
Rams intent on Stoking promotion fire
Derby [2.52] v Stoke [3.25]; The Draw [3.2]
Derby currently occupy the final play-off spot. but can afford gew slip ups from hereon. They drew 1-1 at home to Sheffield Wednesday at the weekend and beat Wigan at home in the match prior. Those two games ended a run of four straight defeats in all competitions as they grit their collective teeth to ensure the season doesn't drift away. Bristol City have a game in hand behind them and Frank Lampard must summon up a serious push over the last 10 games of the Rams season.
Stoke are effectively already on the beach. They may be unbeaten in five matches, but four were draws and they are bobbing away tanely in mid-table. It seems a long time agp since they were pre-seaspn favourites to win the Championship title. Over 2.5 match goals has only landed in none of Stoke's last eight league games and the Potters have failed to score in five of their last seven away games.
Sam Clucas is absent due to a suspension collected for seeing red early on in the game against QPR at Loftus Road at the weekend. Ryan Woods looks set to fill in.
Despite Stoke's liking for the draw, none of the last 12 league meetings between these sides have ended level, with six wins each. As few goals are expected I am ignoring the goalscorer markets and pinning my hopes on Derby having more to play for as the season reaches its climax. Derby to win and under 2.5 goals is 4.61.
Blues have perfect chance to restore push
Nirmingham [2.26] v Millwall [3.75]; The Draw [3.3]
It was not a good weekend for Birmingham City. The pitch invader brought the club embraddment and boss Garry Monk won't be haopy with the manner of the defeat in the Second City derby. Now five points shy of the play-offs after twp straight losses, the visit of Millwall provides the Blues with a great chance of restoring their promotion push.
Neil Harris's visitors have lost four straight league matches and are now only a point and a place above the drop zone. It seems they are spontaneously combusting as a Championship side, but from a betting angle Both Teams To Score has landed in each of those four defeats. They would only be human to have more than one eye on Sunday's FA Cup quarter-final with Brighton.
With Birmingham Striker Che Adams in prolific nick in front of goal. The hitman has bagged nine of Birmingham's last 12 goals from open play in league action. Let's throw a few likely permutations into this one. Birmingham to win, Che Adams to score, BTTS and over 2.5 match goals is 7.59.
*You can follow James on Twitter - @football_badger
James Buttler on 2018/19 Championship
Staked: 157 pts
Returned: 196.50 pts
P/L: +39.50 pts
*based on 1pt each bet, 2pts best bet
Back Over 2.5 goals in West Brom v Swansea and BTTS @ 4.92 (best bet)
Back Derby to beat Stoke and under 2.5 match goals @ 4.61
Back Birmingham to win, Che Adams to score, BTTS and over 2.5 match goals @ 7.59