The Big Wednesday Multiple: An Italian special

Fiorentina's Serie A campaign is slipping through their fingers
Fiorentina's Serie A campaign is slipping through their fingers
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It's that time of the week where Paul Robinson selects a home win, an away win, a match to go over 2.5 goals and a match to go under 2.5 goals. Here are his selections...

"Back Juventus @ 1.66 (4/6);

Back Torino @ 2.8 (9/5);

Back Over 2.5 Goals in Lazio v Parma @ 1.57 (4/7);

Back Under 2.5 Goals in Sampdoria v Verona @ 2.15 (23/20);

The Multiple pays approximately 15.69 (15/1)"

Bet 1: Juventus (HOME) @ 1.66 (4/6) - Live on BT Sport at 19:45 BST

The hosts could be crowned champions for a third straight year tonight if they win and both Lazio and Roma fail to do so. While it's unlikely that the latter part of the equation will happen, the Serie A title is a formality for Juventus and I strongly fancy them to take another three points at the expense of Fiorentina.

The Old Lady have won 14 of 16 home fixtures so far this term with the other two being draws. Massimiliano Allegri and his players may well have one eye on next week's Champions League clash with Real Madrid, but if the manager is to rest players, that will surely happen against Sampdoria on Saturday.

Fiorentina have slipped to sixth place following three consecutive defeats and there best chance of qualifying for the Champions League now comes through winning the Europa League, which they are in the semi-finals of.


Bet 2: Torino (AWAY) @ 2.8 (9/5)

It's been a difficult season for Torino as following their heroics last time, they lost top scorer, Ciro Immobile, to Dortmund and had to juggle league action with European football every other Thursday night.

Nevertheless, Giampiero Ventura's side have really come good in the second half of the campaign and they are back in contention for the European places having lost just two of their last 19 matches. It's five wins from nine on the road in 2015 and their sole defeat was a narrow 3-2 loss at Udinese.

Palermo have performed with credit since their promotion back to the top flight as they sit comfortably in mid-table with just a handful of games to go. It is just two wins in nine for The Pink-Blacks though and at home it's four points from a possible 12 of late.


Bet 3: Lazio v Parma (Over 2.5 goals) @ 1.57 (4/7)

It's second versus bottom at Stadio Olimpico this evening and I expect the goals to flow.

Lazio's main challenge is to finish as runners-up to Juventus, thus ensuring automatic qualification into the Champions League group phase next year. Both themselves and Roma have dropped enough points of late to let Napoli back into the equation, so winning tonight is imperative.

With 59 goals to their name they are the league's second highest scorers and while I expect them to put a few past Palermo, I certainly wouldn't rule out the visitors from finding the net themselves.

Palermo may be long adrift at the bottom but they did incur a seven point deduction and they've now won three of their last five outings. They've scored five goals in in their six most recent away matches and that has led to three of them going over 2.5 goals. Add that to Lazio's stat of 11 out of 16 at home to go over and we have a recipe for goals.


Bet 4: Sampdoria v Verona (Under 2.5 goals) @ 2.15 (23/20)

Our final selection comes from Genoa as I can't see many goals being scored when Sampdoria entertain Hellas Verona.

The main reason for this pick is Sampdoria's home results. Of 15 played at the Marassi this term, 11 of them have rewarded under 2.5 goal backers. Even more telling is the fact that the four that didn't, all occurred in 2014. Since the turn of the year their scorelines have been 1-0, 1-1, 1-1, 1-1, 2-0, 1-0 and 0-0.

Verona's stats don't make as good reading as they've only had 13 of 32 fixtures finish with two goals or fewer being scored. They don't have anything tangible to play for this evening though so it's not like they need to go for it and, it's worth noting that their last two away games both ended with under 2.5 goals landing.


Recommended Multiple

Back Juventus @ 1.66 (4/6);
Back Torino @ 2.8 (9/5);
Back Over 2.5 Goals in Lazio v Parma @ 1.57 (4/7);
Back Under 2.5 Goals in Sampdoria v Verona @ 2.15 (23/20);
The Multiple pays approximately 15.69 (15/1)

Multiple prices are based on our Sportsbook product, so any winnings are exempt from commission.


2015 P/L (1pt each bet)

Wagered: 16 pts
Returned: 32.16pts
P/L: + 16.16pts
(2014 P/L: + 48.57pts)
(2013 P/L: - 15.49 pts)

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