The Big Wednesday Multiple: Santos to make it a lucky 15

Santos are flying in front of their own fans
Santos are flying in front of their own fans

It's that time of the week where Paul Robinson selects a home win, an away win, a match to go over 2.5 goals and a match to go under 2.5 goals. Here are his selections:

"Back Santos @ 1.9 (10/11)

Back Sporting Cristal @ 2.1 (11/10)

Back Over 2.5 Goals in Palmeiras v Fluminese @ 2.05 (21/20)

Back Under 2.5 Goals in Atletico Nacional v Alianza Petrolera @ 1.75 (3/4)

The Multiple pays approximately 14.31 (13/1)"

Bet 1: Santos (HOME) @ 1.9 (10/11)

This is the second leg of a Copa do Brasil semi-final and with Santos being in such fine form in front of their own fans, I fully expect them to win the match, despite not needing to given their 3-1 advantage.

Dorival Júnior's side have been rampant at home this season and they've now won 14 in a row at Vila Belmiro. They haven't just been scrappy wins either as they have been pulverizing their opponents, with the aggregate score over the 14 fixtures being 41-9.

That run includes a 3-0 victory over Sao Paulo and as the visitors are already 3-1 behind, they may well just write off this tie and concentrate their efforts on finishing fourth in the league and earning a shot at next year's Copa Libertadores - a battle that they are in with Santos.


Bet 2: Sporting Cristal (AWAY) @ 2.1 (11/10)

To Peru now and Sporting Cristal seem overpriced at odds-against to pick up the win that will see them go back to the top of the Primera Division.

After eight matches played, the visitors have already collected 20 points, thanks to six wins and two draws. They've won their last two outings - including a 2-0 success at Cesar Vallejo - and tonight they face a club who have lost three in a row.

That club is Uni San Martin and not only did they lose those matches, they didn't even score a goal. Their home form is nothing to write home about either as it's two wins in eight, with five of those games seeing them fail to put the ball in the net.


Bet 3: Palmeiras v Fluminese (Over 2.5 goals) @ 2.05 (21/20)

This is the other semi-final of the Copa do Brasil and I expect plenty of goals as Palmeiras try and turn around a 2-1 first leg deficit.

Manager, Marcelo Oliveira, is not backwards at coming forwards and that has led to 10 of their last 16 fixtures finishing with three or more goals being scored. They come into this match on a poor run - four defeats in five - and they were beaten to nil on their last two appearances in front of their own fans.

They will be desperate to rectify that here and with them already being a goal down, I expect a very attacking approach and line up. The hosts will fancy their chances as well, as Fluminese haven't kept an away clean sheet since July, yet they've found the net themselves in three of their last four on the road.


Bet 4: Atletico Nacional v Alianza Petrolera (Under 2.5 goals) @ 1.75 (3/4)

It's top versus second in this Colombian Primera Division clash and I can't see there being too many goals.

The hosts have been scoring relatively freely this season - 29 in 16 outings - but they are facing the second meanest defence in the league tonight and, in three of their last five games, they netted either once or less.

Alianza Petrolera have conceded just nine times this term - a record only bettered by Atletico Nacional. They have a far inferior goals scored tally however as they are averaging less than one per match.

This has all the makings of the away side parking the bus and playing for a point, which while may not end up being a successful strategy, it should lead to a low-scoring affair.


Recommended Multiple

Back Santos @ 1.9 (10/11)
Back Sporting Cristal @ 2.1 (11/10)
Back Over 2.5 Goals in Palmeiras v Fluminese @ 2.05 (21/20)
Back Under 2.5 Goals in Atletico Nacional v Alianza Petrolera @ 1.75 (3/4)

The Multiple pays approximately 14.31 (13/1)

Multiple prices are based on our Sportsbook product, so any winnings are exempt from commission.

2015 P/L (1pt each bet)

Wagered: 40 pts
Returned: 40.53pts
P/L: + 0.53pts
(2014 P/L: + 48.57pts)
(2013 P/L: - 15.49 pts)

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