The Big Wednesday Multiple: Gerrard's FA Cup dream to continue

Will Brendan have his senior players on-board at Ewood Park?
Will Brendan have his senior players on-board at Ewood Park?
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It's that time of the week where Paul Robinson selects a home win, an away win, a match to go over 2.5 goals and a match to go under 2.5 goals. Here are his selections...

"Back Groningen @ 1.8 (4/5);

Back Liverpool @ 1.65 (13/20);

Back Over 2.5 Goals in Dundee v Dundee United @ 1.8 (4/5);

Back Under 2.5 Goals in Napoli v Lazio @ 1.83 (5/6);

The Multiple pays approximately 9.78 (9/1)"

Bet 1: Groningen (HOME) @ 1.8 (4/5)

The Dutch Cup has produced plenty of surprises this year as all four semi-finalists aren't among the biggest clubs in the country. PEC Zwolle booked their place in the final last night and I expect Groningen to follow suit at home to Excelsior this evening.

The hosts have only been beaten twice in front of their own fans this term and one of those was in Europe. They beat Ajax back in August and earned a point with runaway league leaders, PSV.

Newly promoted to the top flight, Excelsior are four points clear of the relegation zone and enjoying a fine cup run. Marinus Dijkhuizen's side aren't in great form at the moment though as it's one draw and three defeats from their last four outings.


Bet 2: Liverpool (AWAY) @ 1.65 (13/20) - Live on BT Sport 1 at 19:45 BST

Liverpool's top four aspirations have been dealt a couple of hefty blows in the last month but I can't see anything other than a win at Ewood Park in the FA Cup.

Despite only drawing in the original match at Anfield, The Reds will take heart from their excellent away record in 2015. Since the turn of the year they have racked up seven wins from 11 attempts and while the naysayers will point to their two recent losses, they did come against far superior opposition.

Blackburn are a decent Championship club but they aren't the force of old. Gary Bowyer's men aren't pushing for the play-offs and aside from Jordan Rhodes, they don't really have that many players that are Premier League quality.


Bet 3: Dundee v Dundee United (Over 2.5 goals) @ 1.8 (4/5) - Live on Sky Sports 1 at 19:45 BST

It's the Dundee derby this evening and I expect plenty of goals.

The hosts are trying desperately to move into the top half of the table and avoid the relegation round of the season following their promotion last year. Victory here would see them do that, but it's not like they need any extra motivation against their local rivals.

As far as the goals go, with 41 scored and 41 conceded this season, their matches are averaging 2.73 goals each time. While only 13 of their 30 have rewarded over 2.5 backers, their highest scoring game of the year was the reverse fixture when they were beaten 6-2 at Tannadice.

Dundee United are slipping back down to mid-table following a disastrous run of form that has seen them take just one point from a possible 18. If anything is going to rejuvenate them though it's this fixture so I wouldn't be overly concerned by their recent performances.

Jackie McNamara's men have the highest goals to game average in the entire division as their matches are averaging 3.21 goals per 90 minutes. A majority 18 of their 29 have had at least three goals and that includes six of their last seven on the road.


Bet 4: Napoli v Lazio (Under 2.5 goals) @ 1.83 (5/6) - Live on Sky Sports 3 at 19:45 BST

More cup action now as I expect the Coppa Italia semi-final second leg between Napoli and Lazio to be low-scoring.

This tie is poised at 1-1 as both clubs fight it out to face Juventus in the final. Napoli have been struggling recently as they haven't won a match of any description since their 1-0 success over Dinamo Moskva in the Europa League. Since then it's been two draws and two defeats, and prior to that they had gone three without victory.

The goals have dried up for Rafa Benitez's men and that has led to eight of their last 10 fixtures finishing with two goals or fewer. Even at home it's three out of five to go under 2.5 and I expect Rafa to opt for caution against in-form opposition.

Lazio are flying and they come into this match having won seven of their last eight games. The sole blemish, if you can call it that, was the 1-1 draw in the first leg of this tie and they will fancy their chances of getting the job done in Naples this evening.

Stefano Pioli's side kept five clean sheets during that period, with three of those coming on their travels. Like his opposite number, I expect Pioli to adopt a cautious approach early on and I wouldn't be surprised if it's still 0-0 at half time.


Recommended Multiple

Back Groningen @ 1.8 (4/5);
Back Liverpool @ 1.65 (13/20);
Back Over 2.5 Goals in Dundee v Dundee United @ 1.8 (4/5);
Back Under 2.5 Goals in Napoli v Lazio @ 1.83 (5/6);

The Multiple pays approximately 9.78 (9/1)


Multiple prices are based on our Sportsbook product, so any winnings are exempt from commission.


2015 P/L (1pt each bet)

Wagered: 13 pts
Returned: 22.38 pts
P/L: + 9.38 pts
(2014 P/L: + 48.57pts)
(2013 P/L: - 15.49 pts)

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