Kev's pretty much all square for the week, and now hopes to move into profit with a winner from Portugal.
"Porto have won their last 21 league games against Setubal, and they've won four of their last five Primeira Liga outings by two goals or more."
Vitoria Setubal v Porto
Saturday October 29, 18:15
Live on Betfair Live Video
A stale Danish for us last night, as Silkeborg played out a 1-1 draw with OB in the Superliga. Our stake was returned, no harm done.
We move swiftly on, and hop across to Portugal, as Vitoria Setubal prepare to welcome mighty Porto to town. Except that Porto aren't quite so mighty these days, having just announced a huge financial loss, and having not won the Primeira Liga title since 2013. Their bitter rivals Benfica have ruled the roost in the past three seasons, and they are currently six points ahead of Porto at the top of the standings.
Former Valencia and Rio Ave boss Nuno Santo has a tough job on his hands, but he is finding his feet after a sticky start. Porto have won four of their last five league games, and all four of those victories have come by a margin of two goals or greater.
So what resistance can we expect from the hosts? On current evidence, not a lot. Vitoria haven't won any of their last five league games, and they've lost their last two outings at their Estadio do Bonfim. They impressively managed a 1-1 draw at Benfica earlier this season but their recent record against Porto is feeble. They have lost their last 21 league games against the Dragons, a run that stretches back to 2005.
Porto have a clean bill of health, so Nuno has plenty of options at his disposal. With players looking to impress ahead of another round of Champions League action, I expect a strong performance against weak opposition.
Back Porto -1.5 on the Asian Handicap at 2.021/1
2016 P/L (1 pt per bet)
Points Staked: 160
Points Returned: 166.68
P/L: +6.68 points