Against All Odds: Slow start to Copa Libertadores tie

Can Tigres challenge for this?
Can Tigres challenge for this?

It's Copa Libertadores action for Paul Robinson tonight as he thinks that both Universitario and Tigres will keep it tight in the first leg of their last 16 tie.

"Julio César Baldivieso and his team rewarded over 1.5 goal layers in half of their six group games, with the other three only having two goals."

Lay Over 1.5 goals in Universitario v Tigres @ 1.625/8

Universitario v Tigres
Wednesday April 29, 01:30 BST
Available on Betfair Live Video

Bolivian club, Universitario, managed to come through their group despite losing their final fixture at Cruzeiro. Thanks to Huracan's failure at Mineros de Guayana, they are in the knockout phase of the competition for the first time in their history.

Mexicans, Tigres, enjoyed a much smoother passage as four wins and two draws saw them sail through their group as winners, despite being drawn with Argentine giants, River Plate.

The visitors are the warm favourites to progress into the quarters and they even start as favourites to win tonight in Bolivia. While I'm not suggesting that they won't take the victory, this first leg should be a close affair with neither side wanting to make any errors early on.

Julio César Baldivieso and his team rewarded over 1.5 goal layers in half of their six group games, with the other three only having two goals. The Mexicans were much more free-scoring but it is worth noting that their two matches that went under 2.5 goals both came on the road and one of those went under 1.5.

In last year's Libertadores, 13 of the 16 fixtures in this round of the competition finished with two goals or fewer being scored, and almost half of those saw the ball hitting the net once or less. That's why, with over 1.5 goals trading at around the 1.625/8 mark, I have to make it my lay of the day.

Recommended Bet
Lay Over 1.5 goals in Universitario v Tigres @ 1.625/8

2015 P/L (1pt each bet)

Wagered: 116 pts
Returned: 91.44 pts
P/L: - 24.56 pts (after commission)
(2014 P/L: + 17.34 pts)
(2013 P/L: + 3.80 pts)
(2012 P/L: + 9.60 pts)

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