We're zooming to Belgium for our Saturday night entertainment, and Kev's opposing an odds-on favourite from the second tier.
"OH Leuven are winning more than they are losing on the road, and Union's fine home form has crumbled in recent weeks."
Lay Union St Gilloise at 1.75/7
Visitors provide value in battle of strugglers
Union St Gilloise v OH Leuven
Saturday 11 January, 19:30
Grenoble weren't quite as gritty as we'd hoped. Their 3-1 loss at Ajaccio last night was only their second league defeat in 15 matches, a serious case of bad timing.
Bent but unbroken, we head to Belgium, because there's an interesting second-tier clash in store between Union St Gilloise and OH Leuven (a former haunt of current Watford boss Nigel Pearson.)
Leuven aren't in stellar form, having collected just a point from their last three matches. However, if you look at their recent away games, they have won three of their last five matches on the road, and they have only lost two of the last nine outside the Den Dreef Stadion.
Union won three Belgian league titles in the 1930s, but haven't won one since. They are without a victory in three games in league and cup, and in their six matches since the league split, they have only won twice. Their home form was the bedrock of their campaign, but in their last seven home matches in league and cup, they've won just once inside 90 minutes.
Leuven drew 1-1 at Union back in September, and I think they can frustrate the hosts again. I'll lay Union at 1.75/7.