Crewe v Southend
Play-off fixtures are difficult to call and first legs are notoriously low-scoring. That's because fear is a powerful emotion, and it's not often that teams can play their natural game. Such trepidation regularly leads to tight first leg encounters. This one looks no different.
Of Crewe's last ten home games, 70 percent went under the goals mark, with Crewe themselves scoring the bulk of those. So what happens when a generally low-scoring team with a good defence, meets another low-scoring team with an even better defence?
A look at Southend's last 10 away games shows that 70 percent of those were also low on goals. More impressively, they raised their game during the promotion run-in, playing their last five games without conceding. It's amazing to see as talented manager as Paul Sturrock leading a side at this level, which only adds to the belief that Southend will be in close contention going into the second leg.
Back Under 2.5 goals @ 1.834/5
Borussia Dortmund v Bayern Munich
Cup finals are another occasion when things can be extremely cagey, especially when it's a match between two teams so closely matched and that have a tendency towards low-scoring games.
Bayern, low-scoring? I hear you cry.
Well, yes. Or at least not as high-scoring as you might think. Exactly 50 percent of Bayern's league games away from home this season, went under the goals mark. That figure is almost identical for Borussia Dortmund, who saw a fraction more than half of their away games go low on goals.
These sides finished first and second in the league, with Dortmund taking the title. That means there'll be no lack of edge in this match, with Bayern feeling somewhat deposed as Germany's top-dog over the last couple of seasons. As for Munich's even bigger game looming next week, much will be made of what effect thoughts of the Champions League final will have on their players. In my book, the answer is simple. They'll be avoiding injury, at all costs, including even victory.
Back Under 2.5 goals @ 2.021/1
Sunderland v Man Utd
This looks like being a thoroughly entertaining match to end the season, with United going for it against a battle-hardened team that includes several of their old boys.
United won't lose this title for lack of trying. So there should be goals and plenty of them, quite possibly at both ends. More than half the games at the Stadium of Light this season have been high-scoring. Exactly half of United's away games have been high on goals. But the key factor here is motivation. United need to win at all costs. But they're up against a team who've lost only one of their last 11 at home. That could easily see Alex Ferguson's team having to take chances to get the result they need, and exposing themselves to a more-than-useful Sunderland strike force.
And with former Red, turned Black Cats' defender, John O'Shea criticising Untited's title rivals in the build-up to this game, you can't help but wonder what sort of footballing gifts he might be willing to offer-up to his former teammates, should the chance arise.
Back Over 2.5 goals @ 1.715/7
Everton v Newcastle
Again, motivation is key here, with Newcastle needing a win away if they're to keep alive their dream of playing in the Champions League next season.
The problem for Newcastle is that their away form has been all over the place, with their defending especially, at times, downright horrendous. Their Jekyll and Hyde nature saw them conjure 2-0 wins at Swansea and Chelsea recently, but also saw them burned 5-0 at Tottenham and 4-0 at Wigan. The theme seems to be, that if Newcastle don't get their heads in-front first, and have to chase the game, then all hell is likely to break loose, not to mention there being lots of goals.
So then consider this. Everton are unbeaten in their last eight. They've also scored 19 goals during those eight games. That's more than a two a game, which on average would need Newcastle needing to score three to get the result that they need, and that they'll undoubtedly pursue at all costs until the final whistle.
Back Over 2.5 goals @ 1.9420/21