Crystal Palace v Arsenal
Live on BT Sport 1
It's now 27 away games since Arsenal failed to score on their travels. Of those matches, 11 were low-scoring and 16 contained three goals or more. What we can deduce from this is that when the Gunners play on the road, you can assume that they will find the net, and the odds on a high-scoring game immediately jump to more than 60%.
Starting with the odds in our favour is of course a great place to begin, but next we need to ascertain how Crystal Palace will affect the result. Well, a look at Palace's home fixtures in the Premier League reveals 12 goals scored in four matches, at a healthy average of three per game. And if we look back further, at their last 30 home matches, we find things actually improve for us, with 66% of those containing three goals or more.
The managerless Eagles have yet to keep a clean sheet in eight Premier League games. They have the second worst defensive record in the division and three quarters of the teams they've played have scored at least twice against them. With Arsenal's array of attacking talent, you have to expect that record to get worse and Overs is the call.
Back Over 2.5 goals @ 1.684/6
Liverpool v West Brom
The good news for Liverpool fans, is that their last home outing ended in a 3-1 victory. But what they need to consider is, it came against Crystal Palace. The fact that Liverpool managed to punish such weak opposition should not distract us from the reality that at home, Liverpool struggle to score. Prior to playing Palace, they ground out 1-0 wins over Stoke and Man Utd, and lost by the same scoreline at home to Southampton.
For a team that's third in the league to be scoring just a goal a game at home, is quite unusual. It should also be quite concerning, for fans, for manager Brendan Rogers, and for anyone backing goals. The return to action of Luis Suarez may help rectify that problem. But one home match, against Palace, is all we have to go on so far. The game against West Brom should provide us with a clearer picture as to how much Suarez helps when it comes to breaking down a deep-lying defence.
The Baggies, it should be noted, have had three low-scoring results in their four away games, including two 0-0 draws. So recent form suggests this fixture won't have many goals. And so does history, with Steve Clarke's side sure to be fuelled by memories of their 1-0 triumph at Anfield last season.
Back Under 2.5 goals @ 2.466/4
Sunderland v Newcastle
Live on Sky Sports 1
Between Sunderland's four home games, and Newcastle's four matches on the road, a total of seven of those eight fixtures were high-scoring.
Sunderland have conceded to every team that's come to the Stadium of Light, which might need renaming the Stadium of Darkness if things don't turn around for them soon. The one sliver of hope from those results was that they did manage to find the net as well, despite being up against the likes of Arsenal, Liverpool and Manchester United.
Given Sunderland's defensive frailties, the arrival of Newcastle looks ominous. The Geordies have been in rampant scoring form of late, netting two goals in each of their last five Premier League fixtures. The arrival of French forward Loic Remy has been a major catalyst for that, with the 26 year old netting five goals in his first six outings for the club.
It's hard to see Newcastle not scoring. But Sunderland fans should not despair as their side should also see plenty of chances. Newcastle have conceded in every one of their away games, letting in nine goals in just four matches.
With just one point to their name, Sunderland have to go for the win at all costs, making a lay of 0-0 here, the bet of the century if you're that way inclined. But better still, just go for goals.
Back Over 2.5 goals @ 1.9420/21
Tottenham v Hull
In terms of reputation this game might look one-sided, but in the ways that count, it really isn't. Fifth placed Tottenham sit just five points above ninth placed Hull. AVB's men have also failed to put anyone to the sword this season within the confines of White Hart Lane, or anywhere else come to think of it. In fact, of Tottenham's eight Premier League games, seven have been low-scoring, with Spurs often doing just enough to earn victory by the slenderest of margins, as illustrated by their four 1-0 victories to date.
That doesn't suggest we're in for a whole lot of goal action then, when they go up against a Hull side who've been involved in six low-scoring games out of eight. The Yorkshire club have already made trips to Chelsea and Manchester City, and while losing to both, still managed to keep the score down on each occasion. And many people might be surprised to hear that, after letting in just nine goals in eight games, Hull have a better defensive record than both Manchester United and Everton.
The fact that Spurs have had just three days rest for this game, following their Europa League trip to Moldova on Thursday, is also a factor that must be taken into consideration, with several of Tottenham's first-teamers likely to be feeling the effects of that game.
Back Under 2.5 goals @ 2.0621/20