The Goascorer Gamble: Neymar to continue streak in El Clasico

Can Neymar continue his scoring streak when Barcelona face Real Madrid?
Can Neymar continue his scoring streak when Barcelona face Real Madrid?

A triumphant Dan Fitch is back with five more goalscorer tips and is backing Neymar to shine amidst star-studded company...

"With ten goals in as many games, he’s eclipsed Messi this season and is proving that he can cut it in a top league."

Back Neymar to score at 2.942/1.

This week's Goalscorer Gamble is brought to you in association with Bollinger, thanks to last weekend's bumped haul.

After weeks of scraping by with a mere one or two correct tips from five, four came in. What's more, two of those were first goalscorer picks, with Graziano Pelle at 5.79/2 and Alexander Meier at 6.75 delivering, alongside anytime goalscorer picks Sergio Aguero at 2.186/5 and Britt Assombalonga at 3.02/1.

A £10 four-fold on that little lot would have returned you just over £2500, which is all fine and dandy but doesn't reduce my yearning to finally deliver a full house of five out of five.

We start in the familiar waters of the Premier League with an increasingly familiar goalscorer. Saido Berahino has scored six league goals in eight appearances this season and this weekend faces a Crystal Palace defence that have conceded at least two goals in each of their away games.

As is often the way with players who are making their breakthrough as regular goalscorers, Berahino's price to find the net remains relatively generous, as the betting public take their time to catch up. Back the odds of 2.757/4 for Berahino to add to his tally.

Another unfamiliar name amongst the Premier League's top scorers is West Ham's Diafra Sakho. Plucked from the relative obscurity with Metz, Sakho was plying his trade in the backwaters of French football before Sam Allardyce swopped this summer. 

Sakho had scored 20 goals in each of his last two seasons but considering that he had yet to play a single game in the French top flight, there was little to suggest that he'd adapt to the Premier League so quickly.

So far he's scored six goals in seven games, five of which have come in six league appearances and has now found the net in four consecutive games, including goals against Liverpool and Manchester United (admittedly not the achievement that it once was). 

West Ham face their sternest test of the season this weekend, as they host reigning champions Manchester City. This has plumped up Sakho's price nicely, especially when you consider that like most Premier League teams, City's defence is not watertight. They conceded twice on a draining Champions League trip to Moscow this week and have only kept clean sheets in two of their eight league games. It all adds up to the fact that Sakho looks overpriced at 10.519/2 to score the first goal.

Next we turn to another striker in fine form, who unlike Sakho has remained in France. That might be because Marseille's Andre Pierre-Gignac has taken his time to blossom. Now 28, Gignac only scored 14 goals in his first 64 games for the club, but has turned things round with an impressive 50 goals in his last 94 appearances.

That includes ten goals from as many games this season to lead the Ligue 1 goalscorer charts and help his side to top the division, seven points ahead of PSG. This weekend Marseille face one of their toughest challenges of the season as they travel to Lyon, but once again there is reason to be optimistic. 

Lyon have conceded in seven of their ten league games, while Marseille enter the fixture on the back of eight consecutive wins. Once again it points to an artificially high price, so back Gignac to add to his tally at 2.757/4.

Another forward who has taken his time to find prolific scoring form is AC Milan's Keisuke Honda. Also 28, Honda has only broke double figures once in his ten year career and scored just twice for Milan last season, following his transfer from CSKA Moscow.

This season looks to be different, as Honda has grabbed six goals in seven games, including a brace in Milan's victory over Hellas Verona last weekend. This weekend Milan face an away trip to a struggling Fiorentina side, currently mired in the bottom half of Serie A. Take a chance on Honda scoring the first goal at likely odds of 8.515/2.

We conclude with the biggest fixture of the weekend. The main protagonists of El Clasico need no introduction, so it's merely a case of deciding which of them represents the best value.

This game always inflates the goalscorer prices, despite the fact it rarely finishes 0-0. As a result, Cristiano Ronaldo (20 goals in 13 games) is available at 1.9310/11, Karim Benzema (five in his last five) is 3.052/1 and Lionel Messi (9 goals in 11) is 2.3611/8.

The player I'm going for is Neymar. With ten goals in as many games, he's eclipsed Messi this season and is proving that he can cut it in a top league. Back him at 2.942/1 to prove it in the biggest club game of all.

Recommended Bets
Best Bet: Back Neymar to score at 2.942/1
Back Berahino to score at 2.757/4
Back Sakho to score first at 10.519/2
Back Gignac to score at 2.757/4
Back Honda to score first at 8.515/2

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